Microfish_1: I think you misunderstood me. I tracked you because your not moving would town!confirm you to me. because i was RB'd and unable to track you, I am in YesterDay's boat of still being unsure about everything ...
Lifthrasil: Except that's not what you wrote in post
1249. There you wrote that trent was one of your top suspects. In post 1245 trent is even THE top suspect.
Microfish_1: I tracked trent because my biggest suspects are trent/flocke/vitek (in order.)
Lifthrasil: So, depending on what you are asked, trent was either very scummy to you (one of your top suspects) or totally unreadable and you just wanted to town-prove him. That seems very self-contradictory.
Also, your basic assumption that you base your 'I thought I could clear trent' argument on is faulty. How did you know that all scum would be moving around at Night? Where did your confidence that "anybody who doesn't move at night is town" come from? Assuming two scum, one of them might very well do nothing at Night, unless they have a second PR. You argued that from the number of players scum should have a PR - and they did but we already eliminated it. So where did your confidence that scum still have a PR come from, before you were (supposedly) blocked?
Microfish_1: I still think it was quite silly of scum to RB instead of NK'ing me, but I digress.
Lifthrasil: What? Why? If you really are Town, I don't think that it was silly of scum to leave you alive as a distraction, as long as they can keep you ineffective. We already discussed this. So you saying that it was silly of scum to RB you instead of killing you looks weird.
All in all your play looks quite reactive and inconsistent. You react to pressure, you defend yourself, but you do contradict yourself while doing so. This reminds me strongly of Carradice under pressure. He got quite defensive and also self-contradictory. If you really are Town, please explain which of the above posts is true and which isn't. For example was trent your top suspect or wasn't he? If he was, why? If he wasn't, why did you write that he was?
Well, trying to reconstitute a post 2-3 hours after the fact is awful, but here goes.
1. trent was one of my top suspects. As i said earlier, I messed up. I added the "in order" while doing a last-second skim-read of my post in order to check for typos etc. It was intended to apply to Vitek vs Flocke, but not necessarily Vitek vs Flocke vs Trent.. At the Time, Vitek, who had only given town vibes on D3 (not so much to me on D1 & 2) was scummier (to me) than Flocke, who had given smatterings of town-vibes throughout. However, Trent,
because of his very unreadability to me was one of my strongest scum reads. Because I was so unsure, i tracked him, as it seemed to me that this would in all likelihood either clear or condemn him by the presence or absence of movement.
Which it would be (scum or town-clear), I wasn't sure and didn't really care. It would give me an answer either way, on someone who, as part of the upper tier of suspects, was mostly unread by everyone. If he had moved, he would be condemned, while if he stayed home, he would be cleared in my eyes. If I had been able to track Trent, depending on the results , the possibility existed to clear 1.5 birds with one stone, while if I had tracked Vitek or Flocke, I only would have tracked 1 bird. The potential rewards for tracking Trent seemed higher than the rewards of tracking Flocke. Hopefully this helps clear up some of the contradiction. The potential exists for Trent to be top-tier scum or regular town and I wasn't sure which so I tracked the player who I thought would give the highest level of rewards.
Re 1255, the reverse is also true. if he had moved, i would be voting him as we speak.
2.I was convinced that all scum would move because I was convinced that town had another PR. Town so far has had Visitor, Commuter, Doctor, Tracker. Scum has had Role Cop.
In a 13-player game where a 3-player scum team is fewer than 25% of the players, and where there are 3-anti scum town PRs, scum NOT having another PR would be the among biggest surprises of the game to me. It would mean that they were weaker than i thought and deserve a bigger hat-tip if they win.
Yes, my reasoning that town had no more PR's could be faulty. However, as it was stated in the game where Joppo was scum tracker, Scum making a conscious decision to
not utilize all of their roles on any given night is a Bad Decision and Anti-Team. Therefore, I have no reason to expect or suspect that they wouldn't use all available tools at their disposal, including another PR.. Since town PR's outweighed scum PRs by 3+1:1, I was sure there had to be another PR.
Therefore, as both scum players would need to move in order to perform the PR action +the factional NK, if someone didn't move they are very very likely to be town. At which point the educated guess that has been previously advocated by others comes into play and Trent would move into my town-camp. I argued that
of the two remaining scum, there should be a PR. If you add this to Carradice, who was already out of the game, this makes 3 scum.
My comment in question:
Microfish_1: I went with a hunch that with 2 mafia left, if one of them was a PR...both players would have to move if there was a NK.
You twisted this to say
Lifthrasil: You argued that from the number of players scum should have a PR - and they did but we already eliminated it.
This is either deliberate or accidental, and coming from you, it seems unlikely to be accidental.
I stated "they have
another PR among the two scum
remaining"
you said "you claim they should have a PR but we already eliminated it." Note the difference?
Which 2nd scum PR did we uncover? Which flipped player other than Carradice is scum? The answer? No one.
3. I hold to this. If we get their scum RB today, I have free reign to track at my leisure. They don't know who we will get. Because there was no CC, and because of the BC, I am, as ZFR said of C, temporarily to be believed by all, while scum left a confirmed-town PR alive. Scum know that i have 0 reason to lie, and can only hope to twist my words in on themselves to make it look like I am saying what i am not. Of course, i have helped by being unclear on certain things.
In attempting to make a distraction, they left a confirmed PR in the game.
Microfish_1: If he is not lying, then Flocke is cleared somewhat by a townie, at least in comparison to Vitek.
Lifthrasil: This is an error in thinking. A townie can't clear a townie, unless he's an investigator or delivers arguments that are convincing by themselves. Just following someone because he is Town, is either a newbie error or it can be a scum move. Either to buddy or to ride along on the arguments of another player without adding anything. So your argument 'if trent is town, Flocke becomes townier too' is flawed. It only works if there is supporting evidence of this link beyond 'trent said so'.
Microfish_1: Again, Trent became my suspect-of-choice overnight because he was among my top suspects yesterDay.
Lifthrasil: No, he wasn't. At least that wasn't what you wrote. Both Flocke and Vitek were higher on your suspect list than trent. He even had a question mark in your willingness to vote him. (post 1162)
Again with the twisting of my words.
In 1162, i unvote flocke and state
In a vacuum, I could vote for
Vitek, Yogs, Trent (?) Lift (?)
I would not vote for Joe or Dedo, and think I will not vote for flocke anymore toDay.
Yogs was confirmed town EOD3, which leaves Trent as my 2nd highest suspect. i think this qualifies as "among my top suspects." I think even the most doubtful would consider this to not be a contradiction.