How can you tell? I didn't like the sound of this line.


OK, this makes no sense. Why would this make me Townier than I was earlier? I guess It's supposed to make me feel better and yet it really doesn't. This is at least the second time where you give me Town credit for something I don't believe you should. I'm sorry if you are Town and genuinely feel this way but it just looks weird to me.


You meant to say "JoeSapphire and flubbucket do NOT make me feel secure regarding their towniness.", right?


OK, all caught up. So,


PREVIOUSLY ON MAFIA


We had these two mislynch wagons so far:

blotunga - JoeSapphire, Flub, dedoporno, Bookwyrm, SirPrimalform, scene, trent

GameRager - Pooka, Flub, dedo, scene, Micro, Bookwyrm (+ Joe)


The people who were on both of these wagons are:

Flub, dedo, Wyrm, Scene, (Joe - technically he wasn't on the second one but for all intents and purposes should be counted in it as I've been told he did cross-vote with Wyrm for the hammer)


The people who were on none of these wagons are:

gogtrial


People who were on the first wagon but didn't join the second:

Trent, Joe (but not really)


People who weren't on the first wagon but joined the second:

Pooka, Micro


The scum took a very heavy blow on the first night. Not only they lost one of their own but they also didn't manage to decrease the Town numbers. Depending on how many scum players we currently have they might be less or more obligated to join each and every Town wagon they can.

I really don't see gogtrial skipping both wagons if he is scum. If he is, his scumbuddy has to be very well hidden and a whole lot of people have to be Town-reading him for gogtrial to afford to stay away from pushing a "good" Town wagon and keeping his hands clean for some future moment.

I already have had him as Town during pretty much the whole game so I feel it's pretty safe to keep assuming that.


I don't see lone scum Trent (or any lone scum really) skipping the second wagon as he just doesn't have enough time to dilly-dally. Obviously the scum can't even rely on night kills so they'll probably get even more desperate as days go by.

I've had Trent leaning Town in the past days because he feels like town!Trent even though some of his back and forth with Scene doesn't make sense a whole lot of sense to me.

On the other hand if it's not a lone scum it's quite possible the mafia decided to swap places so it doesn't get too obvious being on all Town wagons so far. If I am fooled and Trent might actually be scum his buddy probably isn't Joe but may be among one of the new voters Pooka and Micro.

Something to note here (if Wyrm is to be trusted on this) is that him and Joe didn't exactly cross-vote and Joe's redundant hammer came later. This may or may not have been on purpose and to serve some purpose. I'm too tired to think about possibilities on how that would benefit scum!Joe.

If there are 2 scum and the above assumption is correct (alternating scum on each wagon) I'm more inclined to believe that it's Joe + Pooka or Micro.

I've been reading Pooka mostly as Town so far as most of his posts and observations resonate positively with me and he seems to be trying to figure out what's going on but can't discard the possibility of being wrong and placing too much trust in him.

Then there is Micro - he is a lot more confusing to me. I've played a couple of games with him and I never can get a good read on him and too often end up surprised when he finally shows up to share some thoughts. Maybe we are just too different, I don't know. To be honest the only thing that is making me consider Micro as more Town than scum at the moment is his big post where he got frustrated with Scene which felt genuine. Normally I don't trust such AtE posts and even frown at them but when it's done by a newer players (which I still consider Micro to be) it may actually be real.

If there is only one scum this is pretty much where the suspect list starts - with Joe, Pooka and Micro.


Finally we arrive to the easy part - players who were on both mislynches - there has to be scum here. Maybe not all of the scum are here but there has to be at least one. There is just no way there isn't.

That's me, Wyrm, Scene and Flub.

I know I'm not it and I'm pretty sure it's not Wyrm either.

That leaves Scene and Flub. One of them is not like the other - Scene has been off pretty much from the start of the game with continuous weird choices, statements and accusations but the annoying part is that this isn't automatically AI in his case. It may be either way. I'm pretty torn on him as it's a very easy choice but at the same time it's a very easy choice. Can it be that easy? For a few days now I have been pondering over the idea that he has been intentionally playing in the way he did to bait a Cop investigation and continue unchecked as a Godfather but wouldn't that be pushing it a bit too far? It could backfire so easy unless of course he counts on people giving him a pass because they would expect that type of behavior as Town.

Flub on the other hand only started to feel weird Yesterday (some others shared concerns earlier on but I haven't really seen it). He might be the lone scum who doesn't have time to play games but the same time I'm not sure if he'll make the effort even if that is the case.


Based on all of that I'd say the remaining scum is among the following (in order of most likely to least likely and in sets):

1 or 2 scum left, top priorities
- Scene
- Flub

- Joe
- Micro
- Pooka

2 scum left, reserves
- Joe
- Trent


I don't see the rest being scum. If someone is they are playing a very dangerous and bold game, they have fooled me and get a tip of the hat regardless of the final outcome of the game.