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Drawing from my past experience as first time player and scum in my first game, I don't think Flocke was scum. He was conveying a sense of helplessness, which wouldn't be there imho if he would've had coaching. At the time I only had coaching during the night and still it was truly exciting. With day-chat I imagine it's even more thrilling for a new player vs the bore that is being a vanilla, clueless town. My theory is that scum saw him replaced with a much more experienced player and they don't like trent's suggestion of ending day-chat. So I think that at least one of Micro/GH/Lift is scum. Likely just one as it would be risky for both being so obvious.
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blotunga: Drawing from my past experience as first time player and scum in my first game, I don't think Flocke was scum. He was conveying a sense of helplessness, which wouldn't be there imho if he would've had coaching. At the time I only had coaching during the night and still it was truly exciting. With day-chat I imagine it's even more thrilling for a new player vs the bore that is being a vanilla, clueless town. My theory is that scum saw him replaced with a much more experienced player and they don't like trent's suggestion of ending day-chat. So I think that at least one of Micro/GH/Lift is scum. Likely just one as it would be risky for both being so obvious.
Hasn't Catte voiced his willingness to vote for Trent as well? Is that for the same reason?
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dedoporno: That's an awesome scene. I can hear Robert Shaw's voice telling the story in my head as I read it. Goosebumps.
Tis a fine scene and film....that it tis.

With such a nice lady as NMillar's Ma surely is:

"We're gonna need a bigger boat(party)"

+++

Well, I be off ta bed in a wee bit....take care, all of ya.....I will be back as soon as able(and definitely before deadline).
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my name is capitayn catte: Ok, I know I placed Trent as one of my top picks but I'm slightly unnerved by the speed that the nmillar wagon just turned into the Trent wagon.
Unvoting nmillar was due to his contribution for me. And the speed of the new wagon may be due to the time pressure. I am going to vote GH, however, if that is necessary to avoid no-lynch. But he is hardly readable, since he is equally quirky as Town and as Scum. But it is noticeable how quickly GH followed my after I switched to trent.

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nmillar: A short extension would be appreciated. Party starts four hours from now, so won't be online much after 14:30 UK time until later in the evening.
This gives nmillar some more Town-points. Would Scum want to decrease the time pressure on Town? Of course, WIFOM. But nmillar appears towny here.

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Pookina: I honestly don't think the urging for the IC to claim is indicative of scum.
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my name is capitayn catte: Neither do I. It's not his opinions but his actions that gave me cause for concern. Softclaiming unprompted in the circumstances was a bad idea, although it's not out of the question for it to just be trent being pushy town.
Possible. But the vanilla (soft)claim looks bad indeed. It reduces the pool of possible IC candidates further and thereby gives scum information.

Flocke's no-lynch vote is, unfortunately, not uncharacteristic for Flocke. As far as I remember, he doesn't like lynching without conviction and I never managed to convince him that a no-lynch on D1 is worse than a mis-lynch.

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Microfish_1: I'm not available to play for another 4-6 hours or so but i intent to comment on stuff then.
your 4-6 hours are already 10 hours now. So please, comment on stuff now.

I'll wait for micro's comments and trent's reply. Then I'll consider whether to move my vote. Now, with the extension, we're not in that much of a hurry anymore.
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Lifthrasil: Or to avoid killing the IC as long as there are two scum, so that they can keep their Daychat. If the kill the IC, they lose it. One way or the other scum has a strong interest in knowing who the IC is. Which is also why, on second reading, trent's urging to reveal the IC is more helpful to scum than to town.
You are trying to twist something that is not true. Here is a quote directly from the OP "There are exactly two mafia players in the game and they are allowed to day-chat as long as the Hidden Innocent Child remains hidden. Once they request mod confirmation or they get Night-Killed, whichever happens first, the mafia day-chat will transform into a standard Night-only chat.

That benefits Town more than it benefits scum, and trying to twist it to seem like a bad thing is to me sound like scum trying to keep their Day chat going as they know how beneficial it is.

Vote Lift


As for the votes on me, MIcro voted Floche due to their absence and GH I believe is in self preservation mode. I think Lift's vote was a reaction to me questioning Bookwyrm on his thoughts about him and Blotunga and he's now trying to cast shade on me with twisting how the IC works in this game.
Just saying that Flocke is a woman. Please carry on.

No incentive to switch to trent yet.

"Roads? Where we're going we don't need roads." Emmet Brown, Back to the Future, 1985
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nmillar: FYI - it's my Mum's 70th today, so currently setting up for her surprise party, but will check in regularly.
Happy birthday to your mom!! I hope it's an awesome party :-D



I will be in training for most of the day again so can't promise any quick responses until this evening.
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trentonlf:
I don't think there is a chance of a Lift lynch today. While I also find fishy his arguments, I also think that it might be better to have the IC revealed a bit later.
See the worst case possibilities: If scum hit him tonight, they lose daychat. Provided we mis-lynch we're 5-2
IC reveals himself, mislynch, NK, tomorrow 5-2 but we know for sure 1 town. So we have a slightly better chance of hitting scum., but IC for sure will die next night.

Alternatively if we mis-lynch, IC is alive, we're 5-2 with the same chances but if IC comes forward at 3-2 he's a bit more valuable.
Ideally probably it would be best for IC to remain hidden until 3-1 or so.
But what does scum value more? Day-chat or finding the IC? I think the day chat might be more useful. So I'm more willing to give town points to trent. I won't lynch trent today
i've a long (5+ page word document) written with my responses so far, but won't get it in the next few minutes. gonna just say that i'm up to 466 in my reading/live-thought-blogging. sporry about being overdue; i thought i would be done hours ago.
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Bookwyrm627: Micro has been missing for days. I have a sad, for I would like to see more of him.

Catte and Trent are sitting on their votes. I wonder which way they'll come down when the chips have to come down.
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trentonlf: Well I've already stated I don't want to vote Nmillar so if I have to choose between him or GH I will be voting GH. What are your thoughts on Lift and Blotunga?
I'm not sure about a Lift lynch, but I could vote Blotunga.

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nmillar: Okay, now that GymHenson has confirmed his claim as vanilla town, I can explain why I had doubts about where I was placing him and Lifthrasil.
GH explicitly claimed vanilla town on Day 1 when he was one of the leading wagons. Why did this need confirming?

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nmillar: ZFR backed off from GymHenson quite quickly without really explaining why, so I think he thought that GymHenson was the IC. ZFR is obviously not here to confirm this, so it is just my theory.
What did you see that caused you to think that ZFR thought GH might be IC?

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blotunga: ...My theory is that scum saw [Flocke] replaced with a much more experienced player and they don't like trent's suggestion of ending day-chat. So I think that at least one of Micro/GH/Lift is scum. Likely just one as it would be risky for both being so obvious.
This interpretation bothers me.

Micro never voted for Trent. Micro voted for Flocke as part of a split-vote deal with Lift, where each one votes for one of the mia players (nmillar and flocke).

---

Heavens help me, I think I know some of how ZFR felt. As much as I dislike how much of his posting is All Fluff No Stuff, and how he's been pushing for other players to do the work, the GH lynch is feeling a little too easy.

---

Some things I want to say about Nmillar's recent analysis posts:

1) I liked seeing his posts from when he went through the game thread again. That is the sort of activity other players (like me) can use to try and figure out his alignment.

2) Considering the very recent reread, I'm a little concerned that Nmillar apparently needed a reconfirm from GH about whether GH is the IC.

3) I think nmillar has misrepresented me a pair of times.

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nmillar: Bookwyrm627 joins myself and GymHenson in the "not forming my own opinions" club.

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Bookwyrm627: And it looks like Lift is going to say everything I want to say this game. Maybe I should ask him to ghost write for me.
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nmillar:
Lift said several things I wanted to say, so I simply acknowledged Lift beating me to the punch on those points. However, I had pretty clearly been laying out my own opinions, as he even notes that I'm "the first to throw any shade at GymHenson."

I also object to being labeled here as throwing shade since it implies that I'm scum trying to cast doubt, but I acknowledge that a town!Nmillar wouldn't have proof that I'm town.
Hitting the Highlights of the Last 100 Posts Since I Last Paid Attention to the Game
Thoughts typed as I think them and this is a log of real-time reations to various post; in order. I probably won't take the time to re-read & coalesce thoughts to make sure my first impressions equal thoughts at the end (page 10).


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GymHenson: That's fine....I hope everything is ok with you and yours?
Thank you.
Also, ty for your reasoning.
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my name is capitayn catte: That's not to say my participation has been as high as it ought to be.
I would say true but then i disappeared for 3 days due to IRL so I don't have room to critique too much. I won't give you a semi-pass forever because of IRL, however.

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nmillar: Sorry guys, had my Covid jab on Monday and had the full bag of side effects, then our telephony system fell over at work.
I hope you feel better by now.

373-375 Hmm. I thought Lift was leaning scum on D1, but his reasoning is sound here, though I'd expect to less than logic regardless of team. Seems aggressive on Lift's part except he's defending himself.

#377 Welcome, Trent! Thanks for stepping up! I do simultaneously hope that Flocke is okay.

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Lifthrasil: Actually I feel more comfortable with where my vote was before. Nmillar voted quite opportunistically Yesterday and goes right back Today to the same principle. He's just going along with other player's suspicion, picking GH as convenient target, without making an own point. That's not Town scum-hunting. That's someone going along with an easy target. Either out of disinterest in the game - or out of scumminess. I choose to assume the latter.
Has this opinion changed? Why do you say he voted opportunistically Yesterday? I've done it often myself in previous games, but at what point does "I've nothing to say that hasn't been said by others" go from literally nothing to say and not wanting to parrot (and be accused of riding on coat-tails) to scummy? It seems to me to be akin to the proverbial Rock and Hard Place if you can't find some OC.
Anyway, not saying you are wrong but please list why D1 was opportunistic?

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trentonlf: 9 left
it takes 3 days for town to lose--7-4 is 3>2. I had more thoughts when I first read this and then I was distracted and lost them. So, take comfort in the thought that I was thinking about what you said, I guess.
Also, unless the IC is willing to come out now, your attempting to force the issue by stating "it's not me" (unless LAMIST because you are scum hoping to divert attention from yourself) is not pro-town--you lower the player pool for scum to NK from if you are not lying. The only benefit from this is if the IC does come out. However, you could have stated "the IC needs to come out" without giving reasons. The whole "I'm disappointed that I'm not IC" bit makes you look scummy. I should know; I've been on he opposite end of this conversation before.
Top 2 options. Gut feelings here because I cannot make concrete out of this haze yet. Lift has seemed off on Day 1 in his flap with ZFR who we now know is town. the thought that "scum wouldn't target the person who most suspected them" is laughable overall.
Not sure about GH. He seemed off D1, but that is often his MO.debating "seemed off-town!GH" vs "slipped scum!GH" NAI.
Honestly until 381 I was leaning Flocke slightly town, but am now unsure. However, thank you for subbing.

Post 387--maths, NAI.

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my name is capitayn catte: I appreciate that you have strong feelings about what the IC should do, but I think ultimately it's their decision on how they want to play it. Claiming not to be IC and therefore nudging them towards being outed is not cool.
I'd ask if you were IC, but that would be counter-productive. Agreed that the IC ought to come out when they want to, and until I know Trent's flip, I'm not willing to blindly agree that IC should come out now Vs. tomorrow. IC is more effective tomorrow. I also hope you contribute more.

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Bookwyrm627: I'm also distinctly surprised that no one has called me out on my lurking. I'm not sure what to make of this.
Well, rest assured that if I hadn't been AFK, and if I had thought of it, I would have called you out on it. Consider yourself chastised.
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Bookwyrm627: Blotunga's post 304 is curious to me: Why the focus on Lift? He certainly wasn't ZFR's only suspect.
my 2 cents--ZFR was voting Lift at EoD1.

I'm sorry for disappointing you. When pressured it was the best I saw at the time. I'll try and do better to make you proud once more.
Hum--a 2nd person calling out NMillars piggybacking. Unless the scum team is Lift+Book I should revisit this.

I just had a random and fleeting but brilliant thought but it vanished before materializing!!! >:(

I'm trying to see beyond my initial natural bias for GH's playstyle because I also have those tendencies to forget what I meant way back when, and focus on it as maybe scummy instead of NAI.

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my name is capitayn catte: As I said earlier toDay - it could have been Lift killing the person accusing him - but that seems too obvious. It could also have been someone else killing him to suggest that.
if the latter, any ideas who? Why do you see Lift not taking out an accuser? Do you think ZFR's votes were accurate or just sincere?

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blotunga: I wonder if scum!nmillar would so quickly bus scumbuddy GH. Likely no. Maybe?
I seem to recall a player distancing from the very first RVS post, and continuing to aggressively do so.
2. "would scum suggest the IC come forward to make late-game easier"? yes. It is in scum's interest to off the IC ASAP, and the sooner the IC is revealed the sooner the IC can be removed. This might be, in scum's eyes, worth losing Daychat over.

Post 392. Points to lift for not ignoring himself.

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dedoporno: vote count
@DedoP you have me in there 2x.

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trentonlf: I am in the minority probably in that opinion, but eh I'll still voice my opinion on it. And there's absolutely nothing wrong with me suggesting whoever the IC is claims because hiding is IMO the wrong play for them. I know you don't see it that way and that's your prerogative, and my prerogative is for them to claim because I feel we gain more by them claiming than them trying to hide.
Don't apologize for voicing your opinion. Why Day 1 IC reveal? They are out of the game by D3 and have accomplished potentially little? Still seems anti-town to me?

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Pookina: nobody called me out for disappearing for two days
I wonder if anyone called me out for doing the same. Dedo did via DM, but idk about in game. I'll find out next page, i guess. Also, do you have that moustache sufficiently twirled to make shapes out of it? I know a guy who has this fancy 1890s-esque curled handlebar moustache and wish I could grow one.
Hmm. interesting that someone I have as leaning town would endorse a (to me) pro-scum opinion of "reveal IC now". still seems to be like a late-game or to-save-one's-own-neck gambit. Will have to rethink Pooka's alignment.

I'm more of the higher-stakes "big reward/insta-win" type person.

End of 400.

Nmillar claims VT. The game not ending makes me think that scum didn't hammer NMillar despite the opportunity, Ergo one of those on the wagon is scum or Nmillar is scum. Also, potentially both and it is a day-chat gambit:
....
"Agh! I'm under pressure! HELP?!"
"I'll vote you to get town points"
"You WHAT, Mate?
"Yeah, but you might survive and it's called bussing"
"Oh, yeah, that's what you mean, carry on"
"Oh, look you are at L2 and they are drawing it out to catch a quick hammer! Jokes on them, unless you self vote there is no quick hammer"
(Vote falls apart because no quick hammer and nothing happens. One scum gained TP by voting the other. The other gains scum points because there was no QH.)
....
Yeah, not my best analysis, but I'd like to imagine it happening. Also, that Joe might be proud of my writing in his style.

willing to vote Nmillar. Also interested in his closing thoughts.
Also willing to vote Trent for trying to force the IC to the light before the IC is ready.

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Lifthrasil: Is Microfish actually a double-voter? Or was that an error? ;-)
You outed me. I'm a hidden Naive Split-personality Twins who can vote for 2 parties at once.

Actually.... that would be an interesting role, having 2 votes.

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nmillar: calling out those who haven't shown up yet
it was RVS. I was excited about the first game in 4 months ad wanting to be finally moving? NAI anyway, Your moving me to the scum pile for this feels...opportunistic.

422 good catch

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nmillar: Interesting question from Microfish_1. Has Bookwyrm627 been as aggressive this game?
not as much as I would like or expect, no.

Good reminder of post 80.

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Bookwyrm627: And it looks like Lift is going to say everything I want to say this game. Maybe I should ask him to ghost write for me
has this changed?
Bump please
bump
Thank you @gogtrial!!


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Pookina: Is not something he made up on a whim: that's really HIS prior experience with daychat. If you refer to the Shining game, where he and I were the mafiosi, there were times when I needed his input on a matter but I simply couldn't find him online. AFAIK there were even times he was posting in the thread while I was like "oh gemrunner where are you?". So I don't think his opinion about daychat is anything more than NAI.

Hey, do you know what's even better about GH's daychat opinion? It's based off his experience using daychat...ON DISCORD. He didn't have a quicktopic, he had real-time scumchat, and yet couldn't use it to its fullest extent.
thank you. this is appreciated. the one time i was scum (with ZFR and Vitek iirc) we had no daychat, so I have no opinion-from-experience.

I'm hungry.

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nmillar: Microfish_1 posts this interesting comment. Perhaps seeking to defend himself for not playing as he normally would as town?
nope. others here can attest that I flip flop depending on who last spoke up. (Pooka and bookwyrm will recall this from the game where Pooka pocketed me and I was vocally flipping my mental vote from second to second.) Also, I do struggle with recalling where i had been coming from earlier. This is documented (and I have taken heat for it) in Previous Gamez™. Not to GH's level, but I do understand where he comes from. Also, why no heat for GH saying the same thing?

@431 thank you.

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Bookwyrm627: Unless that's exactly what he WANTS you to think, and he secretly plans to reveal himself at 2v1!

I mean, if Trent actually decloaks as IC later, what are we going to do? Call him a scummy liar?

(Of course, if he's scum, then his pseudo-vanilla claim doesn't mean anything either; the number of places IC could be hiding isn't reduced.)
exactly.

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Pookina: Merry Christmas, you filthy animals
Thanks, and a Very Merry Christmas to you, too!

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GymHenson: GH or trent
You... Now i can't say GH or Trent or i'll be piggybacking. >:(
Also, reasoning would be appreciated.


Until this most recent batch of posts by NMillar, I was willing to vote him for being opinion-less as well as my gut. I don't like that he didn't credit where i pushed players for further explanations, or where he scum read me for RVS trying to speed things up--feels opportunistic, but is maybe NAI.
Strongest scum-read is Trent for trying to force the IC into the open too early. Anti-town.
GH is inconsistent so that is a thing.
Lift for D1 stuff (the Lift-ZFR-GH thing and others) as well as for putting words in my mouth as I described 355.

Not going to vote Pooka or Micro.

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GymHenson: everyone knows if I was IC i'd likely have claimed or cRuMBed by now.
HEY I enjoy your RPing and crumbing. It is enjoyable. even when I cannot figure it out (Harry Potter game). :D

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Bookwyrm627: Micro has been missing etc.
sorry. My apologies.
Your reads please on the current situation of Trent/Flocke Nmillar, (as well as Lift, Catte, and GH?)?



Bump again please
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Microfish_1: Bump again please
bump
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ZFR: bump
Thank you!!


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trentonlf: If I believe someone does not stand a decent chance of being scum I will not vote them, and as of right now Nmillar and Bookwyrm fall into that category for me so I guess if it came down to voting one of them or another lynch not happening I would probably be ridiculed and lynched the next day because I wouldn't vote.

Here's what ZFR's theories never take into account, the human factor. He is probably very accurate in his raw data and how it should work out in the end, but that does not include any actions someone does or something someone says that could sway things. As I have said on so many occasions this is not a game of math it's a game of deception and basing so much on math is a mistake IMO. Does the math help in certain situations, for sure, but it should not be the main reason for votes or claims.

My thoughts from going back over things lean toward Lift and Blotunga, and that's again more my gut than anything specific (other than Blotunga's weird comment at the very beginning implying that he knew Catte was not scum, and that could be construed as him joking around). Don't thing a Chinese Fire Drill is what we need now though and I have a bad feeling the lynch will be either you or Nmillar. Not voting Nmillar and not a big fan of voting you, but I will vote you to prevent a no lynch.

Well I've already stated I don't want to vote Nmillar so if I have to choose between him or GH I will be voting GH. What are your thoughts on Lift and Blotunga?
1. not by me.
2. huh, thank you for the reminder. true. it's why humans beat out AI in all the good sci-fi.

No real thoughts yet on Blotunga.

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nmillar: I think ZFR thought GH was IC
What? No. Zfr explained why.
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ZFR: "I shall gladly have a slight chuckle from the sidelines should I get lynched."
GH has made a similar comment in all recent games he was Town, except ACME one.
But... he was only scum, in Shining and NRA both before he started making such statement.
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Lifthrasil: flying under the radar
not trying to, just haven't felt well the last few days and have had no inspirations--I didn't see a need to rehash old info again and again until we had new info.

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Lifthrasil: By the way, @nmillar, if you are scum after all, this was a brilliant save. If you are town, I'm happy that you're invested in the game now.
agreed. Not convinced of your alignment, but a very nice effort.

Catte is Properly concerned about the speed of trent's wagon, but is it real or with scum chat did he advise GH or Lift to get onto the Trent wagon?

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nmillar: I fully acknowledge that despite IRL, I should have contributed far more, and will make the effort to continue my current level for the remainder of the game.

FYI - it's my Mum's 70th today, so currently setting up for her surprise party, but will check in regularly.
HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO HER!!!! I hope it is a good day and a wonderful time for all, and that her coming years are full of health, love, joy, peace, and the richest of rich blessings.

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GymHenson: Or that i'm scum and would be so dumb as to vote so quickly/eagerly after Lift like that?
town points here. I honestly am back almost to the Lift wagon. I was going to vote Trent for serious but am now doubting that because of Lift.

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trentonlf: You are trying to twist something that is not true. Here is a quote directly from the OP "There are exactly two mafia players in the game and they are allowed to day-chat as long as the Hidden Innocent Child remains hidden. Once they request mod confirmation or they get Night-Killed, whichever happens first, the mafia day-chat will transform into a standard Night-only chat.

That benefits Town more than it benefits scum, and trying to twist it to seem like a bad thing is to me sound like scum trying to keep their Day chat going as they know how beneficial it is.
Very Good Catch. Scum-point to me for not recalling that or for checking Lift's statement.

I agree with blot's reasoning 488, for the most part.

vote trent
strongly debating switching to Lift. See no point voting GH except for avoiding NL.