Posted December 19, 2014
HypersomniacLive: So far this game has been anything but typical, so I'm not quick to label anything as "unlikely".
I'm also not saying that the night-action was "if I find TwilightBard dead, then I'll carve them, tie them to my vehicle and drop them in the town square to send a message to everyone". I'm toying with the idea that someone else had plans to kill him and send the message. If Robbeasy's telling the truth that he does not target specific players, then TwilightBard getting killed by him and not someone else was sort of a case of "being at the wrong place at the wrong time". In other words, the original killer of TwilightBard was beaten by Robbeasy regarding the first part of their night-action, simply because of TwilightBard's decision to visit Robbeasy; their goal though was achieved - TwilightBard was killed.
If Robbeasy also had nth to do with the carving and tying, then it must have been the doing of TwilightBard's original killer. Putting aside who killed TwilightBard, is there a reason for the rest of the original killer's night-action to not have been carried out since the goal of getting him killed was achieved?
So you're basically talking about someone NK him, but he'd already been killed by Robb? Like I said, it's entirely possible, but I think Occam's Razor should be applied. We know Robb killed someone, the flavour fits with his role, why should we assume a second NK also occurred? Plus the unlikelyness (my spellcheck doesn't like that word, so I think I made it up) of the scenario isn't down to the set up, but the choices of the players. What are the odds that one of the targets of NK chooses to investigate / interact with a PGO and get killed? I'm also not saying that the night-action was "if I find TwilightBard dead, then I'll carve them, tie them to my vehicle and drop them in the town square to send a message to everyone". I'm toying with the idea that someone else had plans to kill him and send the message. If Robbeasy's telling the truth that he does not target specific players, then TwilightBard getting killed by him and not someone else was sort of a case of "being at the wrong place at the wrong time". In other words, the original killer of TwilightBard was beaten by Robbeasy regarding the first part of their night-action, simply because of TwilightBard's decision to visit Robbeasy; their goal though was achieved - TwilightBard was killed.
If Robbeasy also had nth to do with the carving and tying, then it must have been the doing of TwilightBard's original killer. Putting aside who killed TwilightBard, is there a reason for the rest of the original killer's night-action to not have been carried out since the goal of getting him killed was achieved?
Incidentally, I mentioned earlier the possibility of Twilight attempting to NK Robb, but as I understand it if that were the case they would usually both die.
HypersomniacLive: There are indeed many possibilities regarding what went down. I'm less inclined to think that luck had anything to do with DarkoD13 being the target, especially after flub disclosed that this is a Role Madness Game.
So either they assumed that DarkoD13, as an experienced player, would have been given a key-role, or they knew he had a key-role.
I'm thinking your probably right on the luck thing. But as I understand it the roles are all assigned randomly, so that logic wouldn't work. I think the most likely option is they have a role cop who scanned Darko in N0, which this being role madness isn't too much of a stretch of the imagination as role cop is (as I understand) a fairly common scum role.So either they assumed that DarkoD13, as an experienced player, would have been given a key-role, or they knew he had a key-role.