Qwertyman: Ultimately, I think the pinatas are great for someone who has money to burn and is interested in a wide variety of games, and maybe has a smaller game library that they are looking to expand.
ciemnogrodzianin: I think it's exactly opposite. If you have small game library the odds are you probably own mostly your favorite games/genre. That's my case - 250 titles, most of them are cRPGs (plus free stuff, GOG connected Humble games etc.). In my case buying piñata would bring me something from another genre (which I may dislike), most probably some classics, which are quite cheap during other sales.
The best odds are for people who already own all the good old games and now are open to trying new releases/genres.
People with limited time or funds should better keep away from piñatas, at least if they don't focus mainly on fun of gambling.
Well, I think it could go either way, concerning library size. A person with a library of ~50 games on gog, but has 200 games on their wishlist, may find that they have a high % chance of getting a game on their wishlist in each pinata, which makes the pinatas a great way to start knocking off wishlist titles (if many of those titles are included in the pinata pool). And like you said, someone who is interested in broadening their horizons with new types of games, it works for those people too.
By larger library size, I was included other places as well, though. For example, I own a big chunk of the games in the pinata pool on Steam already, and I can't afford to pay twice for games. So that's why I say, someone with a large library of games (to include other sites) may find that they have too high a chance of getting a game they already own on Steam for example, then they do a game from their own wishlist here on gog.
I have a substantial library on gog as well (few hundred games), but I own very few of the games in the pinata pool here (but many on Steam, like I said).
i_ni: It's not that difficult(?) for GoG too peek one's Library and Wishlist, roll the dice 3(?) times and pick the one with the best correlation . And there's still a chance to "broaden your horizons and try out games you otherwise wouldn't".
I wouldn't have minded seeing something like that, but it would have been too difficult and probably cost-prohibitive for gog to implement correctly. Maybe a situation where wishlists could somehow affect what was received from the pool, but that would be open to abuse. Or perhaps where someone could choose one genre to exclude from the pool (which in my case would have been RTS), to decrease the odds of receiving a useless game.
These are nice thoughts, but sort of defeat the purpose of the pinatas. It's a chance at a higher priced game for $3 with the risk of getting something you may not want. If the risk of failure is reduced, then so should the chance of better rewards be. That's the very nature of odds of gambling.
HOWEVER, since this isn't a true casino / lottery gambling scenario, I think there are other ways they could have done it to make it more equitable for both gog and the consumer. Example:
Instead of a pinata for $3, where there is a low chance at getting a ~$20 game, but a high chance at getting a game the buyer has absolutely no interest in... instead the pinata costs $5, where there is a still a low chance the buyer may receive a higher-valued reward, but there is a also a chance the reward may be valued at less-than $5, but is
guaranteed to be an item on the buyers wishlist.
So, going with this example, even a losing gamble on the pinata would at least still provide a game the buyer was interested in, albeit a game they could have purchased for less than $5 (maybe even a game that was only $1.49 or $0.99). The risk of loss is still present in this case, which would allow gog to maintain the chance at offering higher-valued titles.
(Clearly this would bring up an issues where it would probably be too complicated to integrate everyone's wishlist with the sale, and then what happens when a person only has more expensive titles on their wishlist, etc.)
I don't know - I would just rather see a situation where the 'mystery game' could still apply and be fun, but where the risks aren't as financially extreme as they are at the casino.
Hopefully what I was trying to say isn't confusing; apologies if it is!
GAMorales: Qwertyman: We all have our weaknesses. I bought *ONE* Piñata out of curiosity and got lucky it was a decent Mac/Linux title (Colonization), so I stopped there. But if you know that buying one is going to tempt you to engage in uncontrolled or detrimental behavior, then you are wiser and stronger for opting out of it altogether.
Oh absolutely. I don't have any issues avoiding gambling. Fortunately I'm not one with an addictive personality. I've spent very little money on games (because of my situation) lately, which is why I allowed myself to spend a little on the pinatas. Initially, when people were posting their results with the pinatas, many of those people were getting the games I was interested in, so I mistakenly assumed my chances of getting at least one game I wanted would be higher than it actually was. I was a bit shocked to go 0/10 on mine. Poop luck.