Well, I'm still counting Lift as a win. Might not be big enough to save the game, however. So down to business-
Hitting the tracker over me either means,
A) I'm not town (though I am), or
B) at least part of my theory is right that scum have some role cover, so dedo was the bigger threat, esp. as the pool narrowed. The risk of being seen on an NK would be hard to bluff out of, whereas a goon might be invisible to me, or scum otherwise have roles that blend well enough to bluff (as Lift tried to).
If there is a doctor/guardian in play (which we didn't resolve D3), curious why they didn't opt for dedo unless they suspected he was scum. Or perhaps guarded him N2 and couldn't repeat. But water under the bridge at this point - that's a rhetorical question. Alternative hypothesis perhaps being that there isn't one after all. Which would be too bad.
Beyond that, I made a bad call on my own night action. Second guessed my own advice and zagged after saying we should zig. So I didn't hit JMich. Lift flipping neutral (though totally evil) threw me a bit, and made me question my read even if it still fit my theory.
So I re-read all of JMich's posts, and my read was that we were just disagreeing on risk assessment. But then, other than jumping on Trent for LAL (he followed Wyrm's lead there but was more tight-lipped) he's been quiet since Day 1. His most open post was his case for Lift that he then moved off of 15 minutes later, and otherwise he hasn't really committed to much.
Re-read all of two other players as well and then basically flipped a coin on JMich vs _____. So I have info on QA from N1 + _____ from N3.
Of the two, I'm more curious what, if anything, QA has to say. Didn't say much at all as the D3 deadline approached. It was
a Leslie Nielsen moment.. My personal feeling is QA has to claim today, but at least for god's sake say something. Or I will.
JMich also punted in D3, and said he would share his reads at the start of D4. So here we are. Share. Otherwise I'm inclined to agree with Wyrm.
Also, I'm still assuming CSP was allied with Lift (both flavor and role integration after that flip), but I suspect CSP doesn't have an NK, probably much like JMich last game. Not sure what his win condition would be now. Not to say I wouldn't vote CSP today, but I think if he flips neutral we lose, so I'd prefer something stronger. If CSP wants to come clean and talk about what his win condition is, it's not to say I'd believe it, but I'd give it fair consideration.
If someone else wants to talk, by all means, but those are the 3 I think we need to hear from most.