Posted August 20, 2015

Leonard03
Prepare For Descent
Registered: Mar 2014
From Canada

bler144
μαϊμού
Registered: Dec 2013
From United States
Posted August 20, 2015

Oy! Is that a shot at me?
So they could be one of those kinds, interesting. Someone noted that not all searches are the same, one brain scan hurt, the other didn't, one bag search stole stuff, the other didn't. (Just in case I am accused of piggy-backing, this was someone else's idea). Could we possibly have four different types of cops?
2) I didn't perceive it that way. He was either sucking up to me or it was an honest statement. I tend to think the latter. Doesn't seem related to you in any case as I can tell.
3) Interesting question. At least some aspects of my mechanism are clearly just flavor - not confirming or denying other parts are meaningful. When you know there's some "oh, that makes sense!" but I think trying to make sense of it on your own you'd be at least as likely to guess wrong as right.
Stealing stuff could be mechanism related, or it might just be flavor. My PM relates my mechanism to one of my stats, even, roughly parallel to Dedo's claim IIRC. A mind-reading mechanism in theory could fit with a pretty wide range of roles.

Leonard03
Prepare For Descent
Registered: Mar 2014
From Canada
Posted August 20, 2015


dedoporno
A bloody pirate!
Registered: Apr 2012
From Bulgaria
Posted August 21, 2015

You already know I'm not extremely fond of yourself. JMich seems different than his usual analytical self and doesn't seem to be too involved, but unfortunately I wasn't part of the game where he was scum and I don't have a base for comparison. As others suggested HijacK and Wyrm also are less outspoken than usual, especially HijacK. All of these may be like that because of RL situations or not, no way to confirm that. Bler is intriguing me to say the least. So far he's been the most fun to dance with if nothing else. I can't say these are scum picks, more like people of interest, some more than others.

That was for bler.

bler144
μαϊμού
Registered: Dec 2013
From United States
Posted August 21, 2015

That said, your statement seems to suggest town could have 4 cops and I would not be one of them. Wouldn't that assume there's an additional cop out there who leaves no trace? Or one might also take it to mean you're insinuating you're also a cop but do leave a trace, and since you were blocked on N1 you didn't use your ability N2.
While it's certainly possible, the suggestion that there are 5 cops complicates a number of things. Or am I missing your point?
From what I can see, there are 4 cops, and at least 3 are town. Maybe 4. We agree on that? I'm telling you I'm one of them, but yes, again, I cannot "prove" I am one. Even Lift flipping scum wouldn't prove I'm town, since I could be bussing him, though tactically I'm not sure that would make sense in this scenario.

CSPVG
Headless
Registered: Jan 2013
From South Africa
Posted August 21, 2015
One would like to know what you think you know about me first, actually.

bler144
μαϊμού
Registered: Dec 2013
From United States

Bookwyrm627
ADD Jumping Bean
Registered: Nov 2013
From United States
Posted August 21, 2015
Okay, sitting down to try and wade through the next 4 pages.
Yogsloth must have been getting mighty bored. I suppose 5 days should be plenty long enough, and I just feel short-handed because I ended up missing a day and a half. Oh well. Maybe I should stop griping about the mod.
Yogsloth must have been getting mighty bored. I suppose 5 days should be plenty long enough, and I just feel short-handed because I ended up missing a day and a half. Oh well. Maybe I should stop griping about the mod.

yogsloth
GRAAAAAAH!!!!!
Registered: Dec 2013
From United States
Posted August 21, 2015
Just figured out who I'm feeding to the spider.

Bookwyrm627
ADD Jumping Bean
Registered: Nov 2013
From United States

bler144
μαϊμού
Registered: Dec 2013
From United States

HijacK
Bona fide badass
Registered: Apr 2012
From Romania
Posted August 21, 2015
Dafuq? Leo turned into a semi old me. :D He's still too polite and that vocabulary is stale, but the aggressiveness is there.

Bookwyrm627
ADD Jumping Bean
Registered: Nov 2013
From United States
Posted August 21, 2015

I'm sorry to hear about more life troubles, though.
-----

My biggest concern is the apparent assumption that because we haven't heard about it or seen it, it hasn't affected a townie and probably doesn't exist. I seem to recall Yogsloth repeatedy not using his NK.
Perhaps, but Lift is addressing the doctor specifically. When we are identifying who was targeted by what, we are adding information about who might and might not be which roles. I think I've talked about the dangers of this previously, and Bler has been pushing on this topic pretty repeatedly too. Yes, it applies to all roles, which means it also applies to the doctor. The importance of doctor versus investigative is, as you point out, debatable.
-----

3 scum.
...
Let's see N2 actions for a bit, shall we?
The ones we know of that are still in play are 3 investigations (brain and pack), the tracker, the protection and the kill. Out of the 3 investigations, at least two should be town, since 2 scum investigative roles do sound redundant. So, with bler assuming he had at least one town visitor, that means either two investigations, or protection/something.
-----

...
That thread is weaker today and will be weaker still tomorrow, and time has grown too short to do any meaningful verifying in future nights. We're facing the end of the road now.
***
Correct me if I'm wrong, but the list of players still alive who have not received a NA would be just JMich, Wyrm, Lift?
-In later days we sift through claims to look for outright lies and to cross reference what people say they did with whether it seems likely they made the decision they claimed at the time they claimed they did it. Different sort of verification. Not sure which method, if either, is better.
-Is that "Not received" or "Not Claimed to have received"?
-----
I'm curious as to whether you have any reasoning beyond "4 scum seems high" to decide that 3 is the number of scum. No lynch is a risky idea if there are 4 scum, and a fatal one if there are 4 mafia. If a SK decides to finally try out his kill ability, that could be two town investigative roles done in one night, with him claiming misplaced Vig afterwards.
-----
-721: Now dedo seems more content with putting the doctor at risk. A turn around from 646.
-----

Day 3 -> Mislynch, NK -> Day 4, Mislynch -> 3v3, No Night 4.
Day 3 -> No Lynch, NK -> Day 4, Mislynch, NK -> 3v3, No Day 5.
Day 3 -> No Lynch, NK -> Day 4, No Lynch, NK -> Day 5 is 4v3 (LyLo).
This assumes 3 scum, and it assumes the doctor is either an utter failure or doesn't exist. We have to No Lynch twice to be sure to get to Day 5. Otherwise, we're right back at risking the mislynch and not getting through Night 4.
So yeah, we get an extra day if we don't mislynch either today or tomorrow. When the math looks like this, I'm a little uncomfortable with agreeing to No Lynch, when lynching scum on either of those days also gives us the extra day. And by a little uncomfortable, I mean it sounds like a terrible idea. Give scum two NK's without much fear of reprisal? I'm sure they'd go "Yes please!". We either let them take pot shots at claimed investigative roles that are supposed to be using those nights, or we risk losing said roles to blind shooting.
Good grief, JMich. Surely I'm not the only one that thinks this is a terrible idea?
Posting this now. I'll continue catching up, but this bit seems kind of big.

bler144
μαϊμού
Registered: Dec 2013
From United States

bler144
μαϊμού
Registered: Dec 2013
From United States
Posted August 21, 2015
I'll give a slightly more full answer to this, since it is actually an important question for everybody, not just me teasing CSP for making a suspicious request. I actually know a few things the rest of town doesn't know, the question being what, if anything, is it worth?
I was tempted to say I found your Harry Potter slashfic collection just for amusement, but that would not go over well with certain people. Why does Lift hate flavor jokes!?
Anyway, what do I know about CSP? Something! The end.
Ok, well, my investigations have been set around the notion that you or QA is scum, but I've visited you both. And despite that I'm pushing a wagon for Lift. What can one intuit from that?
One would tend to conclude I don't have evidence to indicate either of you should be a prime target for town, and maybe not at all. I'm willing to risk that what I know could be lost if I'm the NK, so either my silence is to protect one/both of you, or I don't have anything that valuable at all, or [etc.] Clearly I'm not World's Best Cop. But I might still be worth NKing.
If you're town, I would say I don't know anything that would prevent you from claiming honestly. I do find it a bit interesting you would ask the question 25 hours before deadline though, even aside from the phrasing. The only reason I suspect you at all this game is your play.
If we're all alive tomorrow, then sure, we can trade stories. If I die, then town will have to try and win without all the super awesome stuff I know.
Maybe scum will shake on a gentleman's agreement that if we no-lynch, they'll no-NK? Of course, we'll need a volunteer from the scum squad to come forward to agree to terms.
I was tempted to say I found your Harry Potter slashfic collection just for amusement, but that would not go over well with certain people. Why does Lift hate flavor jokes!?
Anyway, what do I know about CSP? Something! The end.
Ok, well, my investigations have been set around the notion that you or QA is scum, but I've visited you both. And despite that I'm pushing a wagon for Lift. What can one intuit from that?
One would tend to conclude I don't have evidence to indicate either of you should be a prime target for town, and maybe not at all. I'm willing to risk that what I know could be lost if I'm the NK, so either my silence is to protect one/both of you, or I don't have anything that valuable at all, or [etc.] Clearly I'm not World's Best Cop. But I might still be worth NKing.
If you're town, I would say I don't know anything that would prevent you from claiming honestly. I do find it a bit interesting you would ask the question 25 hours before deadline though, even aside from the phrasing. The only reason I suspect you at all this game is your play.
If we're all alive tomorrow, then sure, we can trade stories. If I die, then town will have to try and win without all the super awesome stuff I know.
Maybe scum will shake on a gentleman's agreement that if we no-lynch, they'll no-NK? Of course, we'll need a volunteer from the scum squad to come forward to agree to terms.