Coelocanth: I agree with your point re people with crappy connection/capped bandwidth. What I see is an entire shift in entertainment media from physical goods to digital in the not-too-distant future. The problem is the internet providers aren't keeping up with the shift in format. What I mean is that if we're switching to the digital-based purchase/rentals of games/movies/media in general, then internet providers are going to have to step up with looser rules/cheaper deals on how much bandwidth you get per month and better connectivity.
The problem from ISPs point of view is: who's going to pay for the extra investments needed for the rising data transfers? This is made even worse by the fact that at the same time people are using more and more internet on all devices, they are making less and less voice calls and sending SMS, which used to be the big money makers for phone operators (which at least here are usually the same as the the ISPs). These ISPs/phone operators are not making any money from people sending tweets or Facebook profile updates, instead of sending SMS.
I used to be a big supporter of unlimited data transfers, but now I am starting to feel maybe it is not really fair to either:
- the ISPs who don't necessarily benefit much of increased usage of social media, streaming videos from internet etc.
- the users who use internet still quite lightly and occasionally
So in that sense I feel at least for the basic internet connections, maybe some caps or pay per megabyte would be more fair all in all, than that all pay the same regardless of how heavily they use it. I'd just hope that the price per megabyte (or gigabyte or whatever) would be quite low, but still the light users would pay less than heavy users. Maybe there would be also truly uncapped connections as well, for a premium monthly fee. So you'd get an uncapped connection only if you expect to be using it heavily all the time.
Hard to say which way it will go though, and maybe a new equilibrium is found at some point and this becomes a non-issue. Competition will take care of it, and maybe there indeed will be also service-specific internet connections where the unlimited data transfers are only for the services offered by the internet provider (e.g. you wouldn't necessarily get HD-level Netflix feed with an Amazon internet connection).
For what it's worth, down here fixed internet connections seem generally uncapped (I have an uncapped 10Mbps ADSL line for what I feel is a pretty affordable price, and it includes also apparently an uncapped 3G data SIM as well), with mobile connections it varies. The basic ones are capped. Not sure how it will be in the future.