Posted April 14, 2011
hedwards
buy Evil Genius
Registered: Nov 2008
From United States
Fujek
csmith Archnemes
Registered: Dec 2010
From Germany
Posted April 14, 2011
Bitcoin seem like a funny concept, but isn't the idea behind them a waste of resources?
Bitcoins are generated through solving useless mathematical problems by means of brute force (and thus investing electric energy). If they would at least help in a way like serving research, or even offering a cheap alternative for distributed computing, I'd applaud the effort, but simply blowing energy isn't going to help anybody in my eyes.
Bitcoins are generated through solving useless mathematical problems by means of brute force (and thus investing electric energy). If they would at least help in a way like serving research, or even offering a cheap alternative for distributed computing, I'd applaud the effort, but simply blowing energy isn't going to help anybody in my eyes.
shatteredstone
New User
Registered: Jan 2010
From Germany
Posted April 14, 2011
Bitcoins are generated through solving useless mathematical problems by means of brute force (and thus investing electric energy). If they would at least help in a way like serving research, or even offering a cheap alternative for distributed computing, I'd applaud the effort, but simply blowing energy isn't going to help anybody in my eyes.
PayPal "wastes" a whole lot of cycles on all manner of things too, as do banks. And if we get right down to it, what else but a massive waste of resources is the minting of coins from raw metals and the printing of counterfeit-proof notes ? A penny is worth more in its constituent material than its face value. Same for dimes.
On the subject of wasted distributed computing -- people are breaking RSA challenges, looking for extraterrestrial signs of life, creating huge rainbow tables, etc. at considerable computing cost as well. It does not appear to be a waste to them, either. Maybe F@H should accept BitCoin donations and expand their own infrastructure, realizing an indirect benefit nonetheless :)
Fujek
csmith Archnemes
Registered: Dec 2010
From Germany
Posted April 14, 2011
I really dislike PayPal, but I doubt that they really 'waste' much in the sense of waste resource wise. They apply (hefty) fees as they have additional cost (e.g. fraud protection, service personal, bank fees, conversion rates, tax, servers, security efforts, special software development, ...) and they are a company designed to generate revenue. I'm not too sure where you see them blow resources though.
If you could guarantee that no subject would ever steal money or try to create fake money, we could even use stones instead ;)
Thanks for scoring my point :p
shatteredstone
New User
Registered: Jan 2010
From Germany
Posted April 14, 2011
The current implementation very much reflects those benefits; you can predict the total supply of currency, you cannot unilaterally change it, precisely due to how the system is set up and how creating Coins requires compute power. As for being a viable online currency with viable micropayment -- you can't really argue that cryptography would be unnecessary for those two. Decentralized currency management is not an easy problem to solve, but maybe you have a better idea -- I for one would love to read the paper ! :-)
I really dislike PayPal, but I doubt that they really 'waste' much in the sense of waste resource wise. They apply (hefty) fees as they have additional cost (e.g. fraud protection, service personal, bank fees, conversion rates, tax, servers, security efforts, special software development, ...) and they are a company designed to generate revenue. I'm not too sure where you see them blow resources though.
It's a security concern, simple as that.
If you could guarantee that no subject would ever steal money or try to create fake money, we could even use stones instead ;)
breaking RSA challenges, looking for extraterrestrial signs of life, creating huge rainbow tables
Thanks for scoring my point :p
DelusionsBeta
Yikes!
Registered: Feb 2009
From United Kingdom
Posted April 14, 2011
wpegg
Optimus Pegg
Registered: Nov 2009
From United Kingdom
Posted April 14, 2011
I am also concerned of the scam element of this thing. Do you have any more links to how this actually fits into the economy. You cannot just invent wealth (unless you're an investment bank, when they seem to be able to, but that's by 'accounting'/'fraud'). If you resolve a BitCoin against a dollar, what does the person that owned the dollar have now?
I'd enjoy some links on this matter to allay my fears, and increase my understanding of this.
EDIT: whoops, links in your first post. Reading them now.
EDIT 2: read the links. Definitely a scam. No money goes in, no goods or services generated - none can come out. This is a slant on a pyramid scheme in that the people that put into it are then rewarded by the other people putting into it and then think the currency is worth something. At the end of the day, it cannot resolve to anything. If you closed the BitCoin how much would then be resolved back into solid currency and paid out? I suspect none to negative.
I'd enjoy some links on this matter to allay my fears, and increase my understanding of this.
EDIT: whoops, links in your first post. Reading them now.
EDIT 2: read the links. Definitely a scam. No money goes in, no goods or services generated - none can come out. This is a slant on a pyramid scheme in that the people that put into it are then rewarded by the other people putting into it and then think the currency is worth something. At the end of the day, it cannot resolve to anything. If you closed the BitCoin how much would then be resolved back into solid currency and paid out? I suspect none to negative.
Post edited April 14, 2011 by wpegg
orcishgamer
Mad and Green
Registered: Jun 2010
From United States
Posted April 14, 2011
Bitcoins are generated through solving useless mathematical problems by means of brute force (and thus investing electric energy). If they would at least help in a way like serving research, or even offering a cheap alternative for distributed computing, I'd applaud the effort, but simply blowing energy isn't going to help anybody in my eyes.
PayPal "wastes" a whole lot of cycles on all manner of things too, as do banks. And if we get right down to it, what else but a massive waste of resources is the minting of coins from raw metals and the printing of counterfeit-proof notes ? A penny is worth more in its constituent material than its face value. Same for dimes.
On the subject of wasted distributed computing -- people are breaking RSA challenges, looking for extraterrestrial signs of life, creating huge rainbow tables, etc. at considerable computing cost as well. It does not appear to be a waste to them, either. Maybe F@H should accept BitCoin donations and expand their own infrastructure, realizing an indirect benefit nonetheless :)
shatteredstone
New User
Registered: Jan 2010
From Germany
Posted April 15, 2011
Once again the forum ate my reply ... Wonder what is up with that :)
wpegg: Definitely a scam. No money goes in, no goods or services generated - none can come out. This is a slant on a pyramid scheme in that the people that put into it are then rewarded by the other people putting into it and then think the currency is worth something. At the end of the day, it cannot resolve to anything. If you closed the BitCoin how much would then be resolved back into solid currency and paid out? I suspect none to negative. If you start considering BTC a currency, the view should change drastically. For a common US Dollar to be created, no money goes in, no goods or services are generated, none can come out.
If I own a BTC now and you get a new BTC tomorrow, I don't suddenly have more BTC then. A pyramid scheme, this is not.
There is a bootstrap problem of course -- the more people use BitCoin, the more useful it becomes. This is pretty much the same as the EUR or USD -- I cannot pay with Euro at a US gas station, so it is essentially worthless there. I can pay with USD at many a Mexico gas station, though.
If everybody on the BTC network decided in unison from one day to the next to "shut down" BTC then yes, the numbers don't mean much. This is akin to other currencies, too. There is no central flipswitch though. Everybody has to decide that they do not value BTC anymore at the same time.
I'd be interested to know why exactly you think it is a scam, and who stands to benefit (excepting currency exchange arbitration, which works the same as with any other currency -- the exchanges make their money on the transaction fees, not the value of the currency in question.)
This also serves as a response to DelusionsBeta. Exchange operators do not set the exchange rate. It is governed by what value people using BTC assign to BTC. "Leaving your computer on" is not exactly free, especially with a high-powered graphics-card doing calculations.
BTC may be doomed to fail -- I happen to think it is not. Either way it goes is not material to GoG's success though -- if they at some future point in time cannot get USD for BTC, they can flip a switch and disable BTC payments. I happen to think that the net positive for GoG would still vastly outweigh the risks.
I can get a bunch of goods and services for BTC right now -- and I can donate to a bunch of organizations (amongst them the EFF and the DosBox team -- so if you want to support DosBox development further, you can donate your "worthless" BTC to DosBox too. I am sure they'll appreciate them nonetheless).
orcishgamer: What you're looking for is called futures. You can trade them if you want (it's a zero sum game, mostly), you'll likely loose a lot of money, but there's a level of definition there as far as a currency goes. I actually don't recommend the average person trade futures, but they make more sense than stock or Bitcoins. We value things differently then. But yes, futures have a more traditional definition to them.
Thing is, you can't do micropayments with futures. And by the time you have set up a viable futures trading platform, you will be out considerable sums in fees to your banking organization of choice -- before even being able to realize a profit. You could probably trade BitCoin futures though :P
If I own a BTC now and you get a new BTC tomorrow, I don't suddenly have more BTC then. A pyramid scheme, this is not.
There is a bootstrap problem of course -- the more people use BitCoin, the more useful it becomes. This is pretty much the same as the EUR or USD -- I cannot pay with Euro at a US gas station, so it is essentially worthless there. I can pay with USD at many a Mexico gas station, though.
If everybody on the BTC network decided in unison from one day to the next to "shut down" BTC then yes, the numbers don't mean much. This is akin to other currencies, too. There is no central flipswitch though. Everybody has to decide that they do not value BTC anymore at the same time.
I'd be interested to know why exactly you think it is a scam, and who stands to benefit (excepting currency exchange arbitration, which works the same as with any other currency -- the exchanges make their money on the transaction fees, not the value of the currency in question.)
This also serves as a response to DelusionsBeta. Exchange operators do not set the exchange rate. It is governed by what value people using BTC assign to BTC. "Leaving your computer on" is not exactly free, especially with a high-powered graphics-card doing calculations.
BTC may be doomed to fail -- I happen to think it is not. Either way it goes is not material to GoG's success though -- if they at some future point in time cannot get USD for BTC, they can flip a switch and disable BTC payments. I happen to think that the net positive for GoG would still vastly outweigh the risks.
I can get a bunch of goods and services for BTC right now -- and I can donate to a bunch of organizations (amongst them the EFF and the DosBox team -- so if you want to support DosBox development further, you can donate your "worthless" BTC to DosBox too. I am sure they'll appreciate them nonetheless).
Thing is, you can't do micropayments with futures. And by the time you have set up a viable futures trading platform, you will be out considerable sums in fees to your banking organization of choice -- before even being able to realize a profit. You could probably trade BitCoin futures though :P
Post edited April 15, 2011 by shatteredstone
wpegg
Optimus Pegg
Registered: Nov 2009
From United Kingdom
Posted April 15, 2011
Ok, here's why I would consider it a pyramid scheme. A person decides to start generating BitCoins, they leave their computer on and link it up to whatever the network is that decides how many BitCoins you get.
They now need to actually use these BitCoins, so they persuade some people that they should take these bitcoins in return for a more common currency, being sold on the idea, they too start to let their PCs generate BitCoins. These people are sold on the idea, and start accepting bitcoins. They then want to realise their funds as well, so the cycle repeats itself. This will end up with people at the end of the chain who have all the coins, the people before that have now realised their BitCoins into goods, services, or maybe just hard cash.
Then the people at the end begin to realise that these BitCoins are not actually backed up by anything, so they dump them. So a market crash begins.
You would argue that this is equally possible with any currency. I disagree. Currencies directly linked to a nation benefit from the fact that a nation has a GDP. The country every year produces material wealth. So if such a crash happens in Pound Sterling, the value may go down with respect to the Dollar, but then people realise that the things that Britain is currently producing are now dirt cheap. So they start getting hold of British Pounds so that they can buy some of these goods, and thus the Pound becomes more in demand, and so the price rises. Alternatively it stays low for a bit, and our exports increase, leading the way to a recovery. You do of course know all this already.
A BitCoin has no such backup, because it is not actually backed by a nation with productivity, when the price starts to drop, it will continue without any way of stopping it. A national currency is backed by a country with financial reserves, and actual wealth both invested in the currency, and being generated by the country. While we may have all left the gold standard, the pound is still tied to the value of the things in the country (i.e. with a pound you can buy some land in Britain, or some goods being sold in Britain). A BitCoin has no intrinsic value, it is based purely on investor confidence. This makes it one of the least trustworthy currencies around, and highly vulnerable not just to a drop in price, but total collapse. In its appearance on the exchange, has Moody or Standard and Poor given any rating to it? I suspect they'd value it all at Junk.
They now need to actually use these BitCoins, so they persuade some people that they should take these bitcoins in return for a more common currency, being sold on the idea, they too start to let their PCs generate BitCoins. These people are sold on the idea, and start accepting bitcoins. They then want to realise their funds as well, so the cycle repeats itself. This will end up with people at the end of the chain who have all the coins, the people before that have now realised their BitCoins into goods, services, or maybe just hard cash.
Then the people at the end begin to realise that these BitCoins are not actually backed up by anything, so they dump them. So a market crash begins.
You would argue that this is equally possible with any currency. I disagree. Currencies directly linked to a nation benefit from the fact that a nation has a GDP. The country every year produces material wealth. So if such a crash happens in Pound Sterling, the value may go down with respect to the Dollar, but then people realise that the things that Britain is currently producing are now dirt cheap. So they start getting hold of British Pounds so that they can buy some of these goods, and thus the Pound becomes more in demand, and so the price rises. Alternatively it stays low for a bit, and our exports increase, leading the way to a recovery. You do of course know all this already.
A BitCoin has no such backup, because it is not actually backed by a nation with productivity, when the price starts to drop, it will continue without any way of stopping it. A national currency is backed by a country with financial reserves, and actual wealth both invested in the currency, and being generated by the country. While we may have all left the gold standard, the pound is still tied to the value of the things in the country (i.e. with a pound you can buy some land in Britain, or some goods being sold in Britain). A BitCoin has no intrinsic value, it is based purely on investor confidence. This makes it one of the least trustworthy currencies around, and highly vulnerable not just to a drop in price, but total collapse. In its appearance on the exchange, has Moody or Standard and Poor given any rating to it? I suspect they'd value it all at Junk.
mgiuca
New User
Registered: Apr 2010
From Australia
Posted April 17, 2011
I'd like to address the idea that "You do nothing except leave your computer on, and you get money." This is a common assumption about Bitcoin that I've addressed many times.
There's this idea that the "goal" of using Bitcoin is to plug in your PC and generate as much coin as you can. I think this is because it's the first thing people hear about Bitcoin and it's the first thing they latch onto. But Bitcoin isn't really about generating coins. It's about being a currency. Yes, some people did get rich off Bitcoin in the first place, by generating a lot before it became popular. But as of today, 2011, it is not a "scam" because nobody stands to make money off it, except for trading on the normal fluctuation relative to other currencies, which is true of any currency.
I find the argument about Bitcoin not being backed by anything interesting. Note that it's only a valid argument if there is a crash. If Bitcoin becomes popular enough before that happens, then it will be backed by something: a lot of people will be selling goods for Bitcoin. Obviously that's not the case now, so we can't guarantee Bitcoin's success. But that doesn't make it a "scam". It makes it an experiment.
There's this idea that the "goal" of using Bitcoin is to plug in your PC and generate as much coin as you can. I think this is because it's the first thing people hear about Bitcoin and it's the first thing they latch onto. But Bitcoin isn't really about generating coins. It's about being a currency. Yes, some people did get rich off Bitcoin in the first place, by generating a lot before it became popular. But as of today, 2011, it is not a "scam" because nobody stands to make money off it, except for trading on the normal fluctuation relative to other currencies, which is true of any currency.
I find the argument about Bitcoin not being backed by anything interesting. Note that it's only a valid argument if there is a crash. If Bitcoin becomes popular enough before that happens, then it will be backed by something: a lot of people will be selling goods for Bitcoin. Obviously that's not the case now, so we can't guarantee Bitcoin's success. But that doesn't make it a "scam". It makes it an experiment.
wpegg
Optimus Pegg
Registered: Nov 2009
From United Kingdom
Posted April 17, 2011
Incidentally, I hope it's just a joke, but I found the signature interesting for one of the Bitcoin forum admins: http://www.bitcoin.org/smf/index.php?PHPSESSID=d48454bcaac53b38aa9b58507dbded00&action=profile;u=35
mgiuca
New User
Registered: Apr 2010
From Australia
Posted April 17, 2011
Incidentally, I hope it's just a joke, but I found the signature interesting for one of the Bitcoin forum admins:
Wow, I ... don't know if that's a joke. Bitcoin people can tend to be somewhat anarchic. That appears to be a Bitcoin pyramid scheme.AndrewC
Code Ninja
Registered: Sep 2008
From Romania
Posted April 17, 2011
The problem with BitCoin is that you can't assign it a real world value against a specific measurement, exactly because there isn't a central organization managing the specific currency.
hedwards
buy Evil Genius
Registered: Nov 2008
From United States
Posted April 17, 2011
In practice no economy of any consequence is so finely tuned as to not be dealing with at least some inflation or deflation at any given time.