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PookaMustard: OK. So it's either they're scum, or they're liars. However, isn't that iffy? You're proposing that if they not lying, then they're scum, so LYNCH THEM! And you're also proposing that if they are lying, then there is this thing called the Lynch All Liars tenet...so LYNCH THEM! Ultimately, no matter which way you swing, you want to LYNCH THEM.
Exactly. That way my point. When lynching a liar you have a good chance at hitting scum. Or, at least, you remove a liability from the play. A Townie who plays against Town is a second-best lynch. And about your lofty ideal 'we want to lynch only scum' ... well, if you ever had played this game, you would know that that is next to impossible. Townies get mislynched and we work with what the flips give us. ... Oh wait. You DID play this game before. Then you actually know this and just pretend that you don't.

You see, if we are lucky, we get scum. When someone lies, he has a higher chance of being scum than average, so our chances of getting lucky increases by targeting liars. Scum lie, Town doesn't (if they are smart). If we're not lucky and we don't hit scum, I'll much rather hit a lying anti-town player than a town-player who actually tries to help town. So my personal preference for lynches D1 would be:

scum > liar > lurker > some other player > no lynch

spot 1 is usually only possible with luck. If everyone follows the 'don't lie' tenet, spot 1 and spot 2 become the same. But, as I realized, in this game the majority wants to soften the 'no lying' rule. So the LAL tenet becomes much less useful.


... I just wish I could enforce that tenet in real life. For example: lynch every politician who lies. Sure, that would empty the governments fast. But one or two legislative periods later we would finally get some decent folks in office!
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Lifthrasil: Exactly. That way my point. When lynching a liar you have a good chance at hitting scum. Or, at least, you remove a liability from the play. A Townie who plays against Town is a second-best lynch. And about your lofty ideal 'we want to lynch only scum' ... well, if you ever had played this game, you would know that that is next to impossible. Townies get mislynched and we work with what the flips give us. ... Oh wait. You DID play this game before. Then you actually know this and just pretend that you don't.

You see, if we are lucky, we get scum. When someone lies, he has a higher chance of being scum than average, so our chances of getting lucky increases by targeting liars. Scum lie, Town doesn't (if they are smart). If we're not lucky and we don't hit scum, I'll much rather hit a lying anti-town player than a town-player who actually tries to help town. So my personal preference for lynches D1 would be:

scum > liar > lurker > some other player > no lynch
And here is when things get iffier. Yes, we will end up with mislynches, no doubt about it. But you're telling me that lynching agent and yogsloth for a joke claim has a higher than average chance of landing me with scum? Especially when all things considered, the setting ZFR put us in isn't one he just made up for this game only, it's Harry Potter. It's easy to claim you're some Slytherin that you aren't in practice because the characters and setting are already fleshed out. Hey, I'm a liar too if you haven't noticed, my first post has me say that I'm Baka, Watcher of Kalunga.

Tell me this whole "lynching liars has higher likelihood of hitting scum" thing when what's being discussed is of actual substance, not Day 1 silliness. I'm not discounting it, but I fail to see its effectiveness. Over an obvious joke post.
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Lifthrasil: So, you berate me for a play style that I just agreed to drop. Even quoting the sentence, where I dropped it. ... Aren't you a bit late with that critique?

Lift: "OK. I'll stop."
GR: "Lift! You really should stop! If you continue this might harm us!"

Admit it, you had that sentence all thought out beforehand and just wanted to post it. Even though it had become redundant by the time. :-)
As you might have noticed, I reply in order of posts from oldest to newest and from top to bottom. Sometimes I edit before posting if need be, but sometimes I feel some things still need to be said(to make a point, to show my thought processes, etc) and/or sometimes yes...there are times when I write what I feel is a well thought out/written post and don't want to have to can/ditch it.

In this case it was more the former(to highlight how I felt about your decision/stance before changing it) than the latter(just wanting to post something after working on it for a bit so as to not make the effort be for naught).


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Lifthrasil: Actually I do suspect you a bit. Not for the quoted sentence above, but for keeping your vote on me even though the reason you put it there was wrong. Which you were shown and agreed that it was wrong. But still you kept your vote there 'until someone better comes along'. This might be laziness, or it might be convenience of a scum who really doesn't care on which Townie he places his vote.
I was actually going to remove said vote earlier, but didn't...somewhat(as you guessed) out of laziness & also due to forgetting.

But I guess now is as good a time as any:

Unvotus Lift

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Lifthrasil: Similar, but in a stronger flavour, is Pooka. He just let his RVS vote sit and later tried to fit a narrative to justify his vote. He even accused me of saying something which I didn't say. So, I am tempted to vote Pooka, but I'll wait for his reply first.

The third one who sticks out, even if merely by absence, is sanscript.

Accio sanscipt

sancript, come and play with us. Or, if you realized that you can't play after all, please ask the mod for a replacement so that the game doesn't get held up by your absence.
I do hope sanscript stays.....they seem to be able to hold a good talk in PM and I had hoped they would stick around for this game so we could play a game together instead of just a few PMs here and there(on other topics, I mean, not this game) as we have done in the past.

As for pooka: I dunno how to place them as of yet....could go either way.
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PookaMustard: You haven't convinced me enough to take my vote off you. Unless you do better, my vote stays where it is. I'm calling this a case of "backtracking" because this avenue didn't work out well for you, and you only retreated when all eyes were on you.
Could go either way, but seeing as how the wagons seem to have stalled and we have to wait anyways(in case a replacement for sanscript is needed) I felt it ok to unvote them for now.

(That and they keep giving me dirty looks in the grand dining room o.0)
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agentcarr16: Classic GameRager *rolls eyes*
Dohoho......

In all seriousness, though: Tbh, besides the reasons I gave Lift, it could also be due to how I do things in general(due to various mental issues and outlooks IRL)......who knows, though, what with my mind the way it is and all. :\
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Lifthrasil: Exactly. That way my point. When lynching a liar you have a good chance at hitting scum. Or, at least, you remove a liability from the play. A Townie who plays against Town is a second-best lynch. And about your lofty ideal 'we want to lynch only scum' ... well, if you ever had played this game, you would know that that is next to impossible. Townies get mislynched and we work with what the flips give us. ... Oh wait. You DID play this game before. Then you actually know this and just pretend that you don't.
Tbh i'd rather we have those extra town(even if a "liability") as a buffer of sorts(against NKs and such) than to lynch such players due to any liability some might see in them...but that's just me, I guess. *shrug*

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Lifthrasil: ... I just wish I could enforce that tenet in real life. For example: lynch every politician who lies. Sure, that would empty the governments fast. But one or two legislative periods later we would finally get some decent folks in office!
Wouldn't work....people lie by accident or to be nice sometimes, and also as that one guy in that one film said "you can't handle the truth!"....and it's true....many like nice lies over harsh truths.

(But enough about that....I don't wanna break gog's rules by going any further down this path so i'll leave this bit at that....if anyone wants to discuss such non game related & possibly not allowed on the forums topics my PM is open for such)
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agentcarr16: Classic GameRager *rolls eyes*
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GameRager: Dohoho......

In all seriousness, though: Tbh, besides the reasons I gave Lift, it could also be due to how I do things in general(due to various mental issues and outlooks IRL)......who knows, though, what with my mind the way it is and all. :\
I was rolling my eyes in the nicest of ways, of course.
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agentcarr16: I was rolling my eyes in the nicest of ways, of course.
Of course....my mind just tends to wander and worry about every little thing sometimes and I often feel the need to explain/apologize more than is likely needed or warranted in some cases.

That said, I am off to the grand dining hall to get me some grub......maybe some chocolate frogs or maybe i'm daring enough to try some bertie bott's every flavor beans again.
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GameRager: maybe i'm daring enough to try some bertie bott's every flavor beans again.
Yeah, after "diarrhea" I'm never going down that road again, ever.

...


Want to know something funny

The more I read these exchanges with Lift, the worse my opinion on Lift has become

He's backtracking because his push for an easy lynch didn't work

And everybody unvoted him

The mind

ponders
Long post (sorry).

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yogsloth: I don't know GameRager or Carradice, but I'm feeling pretty comfortable with both of them... always great to see newer people (at least new to me) active and engaged!
Glad to hear that! it is being a great game.

@Lifthrasil: Had been waiting to see your comments on the situation, since you were leading the list. Two comments, though:

1st: Two (apparent) worrying phalacies detected, maybe because of rushed writing.

"their 'joke' can only be true, if they are scum." This is equal to saying: they are scum if they are scum. This is a tautology, meaning, it is repeating the premise without adding anything new.

"if they did lie about anything (name or anything else), they are liars" and therefore the logical jump to the inmediate, application of the tenet Occedere Omnes Mendaces (Lynch All Liars), without any consideration about the fact that, like all rules, it might require a degree of interpretation. In this case, no account of yogsloth being all in for the application of the tenet, and without any regard for the circumstances of the saying (at the beginning of the game, when some joking and poking are to be expected). This strikes as very rigid, at least.

2nd: Even if the implementation of LAL might be beneficial, according to theory, and the threat of LAL might keep everyone in place, theory says also that Gryffindor might want to seek Slytherin out, not punish whatever might be considered undesirable tactics (whatever that means), since doing so might lead to worse results in practice (although that might be arguable, too). This might be the strongest notion against a heavy-handed approach.

@ SirPrimalform:

Agreed that no direct table on how the motivations might be applied to the cases you listed was given. However, the connections, risks and possible rewards were implied in the descriptions. However, here goes a table that includes everything explicitly, for your enjoyment!



## Motivation list ##

1) Joking for breaking the ice and setting the gears into motion.

2) Creating opportunities, by triggering reactions and waiting to see if others trip themselves (a somewhat risky move for a Gryffindor, and even more for a Slytherin).

3) Protection against Gryffindor: A little inverse psychology might favour considering them as non-Slytherin. A bold but potentially beneficial move for a Slytherin. Useful also for any neutral or even Gryffindor that does not want to be voted for (but risky nonetheless).

4) Protection against Slytherin: Since lying is considered by some a sub-par strategy, and a liability to Gryffindor et alter, maybe another motive would be hoping to increase survivability against the special casting phase? (the 'night', in Mugglespeak). Most interesting for a third party.


## Table: Alignment and Motivations ##

(Hopefully it can be readable, even if the format appears broken)

Alignment Motivation Risk* Reward* Risk/Reward*
(S acc - high - - )
S delib 2,3 high medium-high 2/3, 1
(G joke 1 low - - )
G delib 2,3,4 low low-medium 1, 2
N delib 3,4 high high 1


## Key ##

S: Slytherin
G: Gryffindor
N: Neutral

*: very arguable estimations by an unexperienced player. You can enter your own values.
(): particular cases that are included only to fit with SPF's table. These cases are suppossed to NOT be part of a strategy, therefore no risk/benefit ratio applies.

Numeric values for obtaining a ratio (that is to be evaluated qualitatively, though): low = 1; medium = 2; high= 3

Risk/Reward ratio: the higher, the better; everything equal or higher than 1 means an acceptable risk, in principle.

acc: accident
delib: deliberate
joke: joke


## Discussion ##

Each one is free to draw conclusions. The values for the Reward field are provided as a range, with the final value depending on the skill of the player and circumstance (such as the experience, play style and skill of other players, and chance).

The Reward field contains a combination of the rewards seeked by each motivation. Note that the reward for each motivation may be dependent on the alignment, as well. For example: a Slytherin gets more from "3) protection against Gryffindor" than a Gryffindor, since the latter may be exonerated by a night action (by a 'Cop') and may not be falsified when claiming a name, while the former may be both detected by a night action or discovered.

The value for the Risk/Reward ratio is to be evaluated qualitatively: acceptable (equal to 1), very acceptable (higher than 1, the higher, the better), and unacceptable (lower than 1, the lower, the worse).

As a prospect for the opening, the Risk/Reward ratio offers acceptable values for (in descending order): Gryffindor, Neutral, Slytherin.

Motivations 1 and 2 seem to weight more in a Slytherin claim made at the very beginning of the game.


## Conclusions ##

In absence of more data, and with the values assigned to Risk and Reward, it might be plausible to consider the player as Gryffindor. More data might make all the difference for assessing the possible alignment of the player.

In terms of strategy for the Gryffindor team, an approach that wants to minimize friendly fire casualties will acquit the player, in absence of more data.

On the other hand, a more agressive approach, might want to Votus the player, especially in the absence of better candidates.
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Carradice: *snip*
[glassy eyed stare]

You must be a friend of ZFR's.

Wanna come over later and play some GI Joes?
A clarification (since the wording is not that clear).

In the ## Discussion ##:

"Motivations 1 and 2 seem to weight more in a Slytherin claim made at the very beginning of the game."

A Slytherin claim means someone claiming to be a Slytherin, not that the claim is made by an actual Slytherin.


Also, sorry about the broken format in the table. The forum ate all the blank spaces. Hopefully it is still understandable.
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Carradice: Long post (sorry).
<snip>
You must be from Ravenclaw.
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trentonlf: So you are leaving the door open to come back later and say he's scummy because of what he said, but at the moment he gets a pass it. Sounds legit....

Unvote Carradice
Vote SirPrimalform
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SirPrimalform: Lolwut?

Are you saying that if Agent does something scummy down the line, you wouldn't take it into account?

Do I find Agentcarr's joke a good reason to lynch on its own? No.
Does this mean I'll strike it from the record? Of course not.
Can I fit another question mark into this post? I hope so.
If agent does something I find to be scummy down the line I will call him out on it and probably vote him unless I find someone else to be even more scummy that deserves my vote, although I will still call him out. If I had found agent coming out saying he is in Slytherin to be scummy and not what I thought was a joke I would have voted him and been hard pressed to change my vote, but I would not later decide it was scummy just because of something else he said and/or did. Trying to say you might later find someone scummy for saying something but at the moment it is not scummy is a scummy play in my opinion.
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yogsloth: Yeah, after "diarrhea" I'm never going down that road again, ever.
Lol, fair enough.

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yogsloth: Want to know something funny

The more I read these exchanges with Lift, the worse my opinion on Lift has become

He's backtracking because his push for an easy lynch didn't work

And everybody unvoted him

The mind

ponders
Well then hopefully we have a cop on duty and they can investigate him or someone else of note when the "day" ends. :)
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yogsloth: [glassy eyed stare]

You must be a friend of ZFR's.

Wanna come over later and play some GI Joes?
GI Joes aren't exactly british, now are they? Why not pick a proper brit alternative...or are you just low down dirty scuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuum?!? ;D

*Pic related to the end of the line above...it is a saying of one of the game characters in the Game Blue Toad Murder Files: Little Riddle*

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agentcarr16: You must be from Ravenclaw.
That'd be nice...then i'd have a fellow ravenclaw to hang with. :)
Attachments:
Lift, I was hoping you'd answer my questions. While I appreciated carradice's input, it was you I was asking really.

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SirPrimalform: Lolwut?

Are you saying that if Agent does something scummy down the line, you wouldn't take it into account?

Do I find Agentcarr's joke a good reason to lynch on its own? No.
Does this mean I'll strike it from the record? Of course not.
Can I fit another question mark into this post? I hope so.
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trentonlf: If agent does something I find to be scummy down the line I will call him out on it and probably vote him unless I find someone else to be even more scummy that deserves my vote, although I will still call him out. If I had found agent coming out saying he is in Slytherin to be scummy and not what I thought was a joke I would have voted him and been hard pressed to change my vote, but I would not later decide it was scummy just because of something else he said and/or did. Trying to say you might later find someone scummy for saying something but at the moment it is not scummy is a scummy play in my opinion.
Given how plainly I stated it in the quoted post, it feels like you're purposefully misunderstanding me. I don't think I can be much clearer so I won't waste time going in circles.
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Carradice: *snip*
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yogsloth: [glassy eyed stare]

You must be a friend of ZFR's.

Wanna come over later and play some GI Joes?
Anytime! :D

@JoeSapphire:

>>I reckon Trent isn't knowingly on a team with Yogsloth
Do you think so? Would you like to share a bit more on that, if you feel like it? Casting Votus on yogsloth early does not mean that much, surely? (not saying they are together, just seeking to know what you noticed)

@SirPrimalform:

>>Given how plainly I stated it in the quoted post, it feels like you're purposefully misunderstanding me

Had that impression too in a couple of posts. It can be just poking to see what happens, though. Maybe.

*****

People rushing to Votus someone at this stage, with little explanation, is something that gives pause. How unbecoming for Gryffindor to rush against possible innocents. Although some of the rushing ones convincingly appear to be on different sides. Hopefully more will be heard from everyone.

@ZFR:Professor, will we get a last warning before Day 1 ends, so that there is a little time for a final decision on Votus/Unvotus?

@FlockeShnee: What do you think? any impressions to share?
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Carradice: People rushing to Votus someone at this stage, with little explanation, is something that gives pause. How unbecoming for Gryffindor to rush against possible innocents. Although some of the rushing ones convincingly appear to be on different sides. Hopefully more will be heard from everyone.
Usually a good number randomly vote in silly fashion on the first day...this is seemingly tradition and also used by some to break the ice and also possibly try and figure out the alignment of some by others.

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Carradice: @ZFR:Professor, will we get a last warning before Day 1 ends, so that there is a little time for a final decision on Votus/Unvotus?
From previous games I can say with near certainty that all game mods/OPs tell the players some time in advance when a day will end....usually around 24 hours(more or less) advance notice is given in most games.