Posted February 12, 2015
bad_fur_day1: But, I'm going to have to disagree still. It's still more likely each time you get the same coin toss to come out the opposite, no matter what Wikipedia says, I don't buy it. It gets more improbable each time you get X.
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX is almost impossible. It's entirely likely the next will be Y.
But maybe I'm just deluded.
Probability of getting heads x times in a row decreases rapidly with increasing x. XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX is almost impossible. It's entirely likely the next will be Y.
But maybe I'm just deluded.
Probability of getting heads with each individual toss of the coin, however, does not change at all, regardless of how many time it has been tossed.
These are two different things, and you can't rely on either. If all you do is to wait for the opposite to happen, you will end up winning rounghly 50% of the time - which is not accurate either as true randomness doesn't really like equal division. The coin has no memory of what happened during the last toss. The one operating it has it tho, and I would not be surprised if videogames in particular were rigged towards particular results to reduce randomness.
Post edited February 12, 2015 by Fenixp