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Can you predict the future?

Go to random.org. Set Min to 1, Max to 100.

Guess a number (write it down or use notepad) then use random.org to generate a number. Post your results. (Be honest).


I did it a total of 40 times and correctly guessed 2 out of 40.


57 - 21
87 - 11
12 - 4
16 - 37
32 - 34
52 - 37
64 - 91
17 - 4
81 - 81
44 - 5


76 - 24
55 - 47
13 - 53
23 - 54
64 - 15
99 - 31
82 - 35
7 - 7
4 - 92
14 - 12
78 - 85


7 - 66
17 - 13
86 - 85
47 - 85
14 - 80
12 - 17
33 - 13
74 - 87
66 - 25
34 - 24


88 - 79
54 - 24
13 - 17
2 - 98
76 - 59
89 - 74
24 - 33
28 - 85
78 - 42
45 - 78


If you did better, please share your secret.
I have a feeling you posted this in order to find out how many gullible people there are in here. :P
Reminds me of the matching birthdays, that for each birthday that was unique the more likely it became there was a match. With that the likelihood was square root of the number of days in a year (or every 20-ish people).

However likelihood of getting a perfect match is 1 in the max numbers... So you have a 1% chance of being right...

So enough on that, let's see....

21 - 52
54 - 67
88 - 8
87 - 71
19 - 14
11 - 41
53 - 68
99 - 55
31 - 95
7 - 31

42 - 71
12 - 52
91 - 22
27 - 65
37 - 7
3 - 23
69 - 13
55 - 35
11 - 33
51 - 2

Apparently i have a 0% success in 20 numbers (in this case), but that doesn't mean anything. Random numbers can have a hundred 0's in a row if it's in the right place. Unlikely but not impossible...
Errrrr... No comments. *facepalm*
I hate to burst your bubble, but the numbers generated by random.org are buffered, which means that they are actually generated before you request them.

You're actually predicting the past.
I did not predict the creation of this thread. So no, I cannot predict the future.
I don't predict the future. I predict a riot! :D
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ZFR: I hate to burst your bubble, but the numbers generated by random.org are buffered, which means that they are actually generated before you request them.

You're actually predicting the past.
BUBBLE BURST!

/thread.

I read a line in a book once that said "Don't bother to predict the future before you understand the present." I think it comes from Zen Buddhism.
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hudfreegamer: Can you predict the future?
Yes.

In one hour, I will eat some salmon, rice and vegetables for lunch (leftovers from yesterday, cheaper than eating in the canteen, and better tasting too).

As for you others, you will all die. Not necessarily today, but later.
Post edited February 11, 2015 by timppu
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ZFR: the numbers generated by random.org are buffered
<snip>
You're actually predicting the past.
To the same logic that anything you see/hear/react to is in the past as well... It may be 80ms or so in the past depending on how long it takes to get to your sensory organs... VSauce did a video on it.

Still with the same logic every random number has to be generated before you can use/compare against it. One good technique involves tuning to a static radio frequency and truncating the incoming data.

But if this is 1ms in the past or 10 minutes when it was generated, does that matter when compared against perception which to us was the future?

Maybe i'm thinking too hard on this...
As I predicted, salmon and rice it was.

I see many of you are still alive, though.
Post edited February 11, 2015 by timppu
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timppu: As I predicted, salmon and rice it was.

I see many of you are still alive, though.
We're putting it off, for later...
No, but I worked out once how to get better 50/50 coin tosses in Bloodbowl.

Knowing the previous coin toss result can considerably increase your chances for the next coin toss. Each time you get a heads for example makes it more likely to get a tails next time. If you get a heads again it makes it even more likely to get a tails next time, and so on.

I'm unsure if anyone has given this chance escalation a name. Though there's a lot of smart people, I'm sure they have.
Post edited February 13, 2015 by bad_fur_day1
This thread reminds me of that quantum bet giveaway thread.

And to answer the OP's question, yes, I can predict the future, but whether my prediction is true or not can only fall within a certain range of mathematical probability.

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bad_fur_day1: No, but I worked out once how to get much better than 50/50 on coin tosses in Bloodbowl, 70%-80% right.

Knowing the previous coin toss result can considerably increase your chances for the next coin toss. Each time you get a heads for example makes it more likely to get a tails next time. If you get a heads again it makes it even more likely to get a tails next time, and so on.

I'm unsure if anyone has given this chance escalation a name. Though there's a lot of smart people, I'm sure they have.
This is actually a logical fallacy known as the Gambler's Fallacy. Given a fair coin (meaning it is not rigged to drop on one side more than the other), each toss is a new independent event and always a 50/50 chance for either heads or tails, regardless any past outcomes.
Post edited February 11, 2015 by the.kuribo
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the.kuribo: This thread reminds me of that quantum bet giveaway thread.

And to answer the OP's question, yes, I can predict the future, but whether my prediction is true or not can only fall within a certain range of mathematical probability.

avatar
bad_fur_day1: No, but I worked out once how to get much better than 50/50 on coin tosses in Bloodbowl, 70%-80% right.

Knowing the previous coin toss result can considerably increase your chances for the next coin toss. Each time you get a heads for example makes it more likely to get a tails next time. If you get a heads again it makes it even more likely to get a tails next time, and so on.

I'm unsure if anyone has given this chance escalation a name. Though there's a lot of smart people, I'm sure they have.
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the.kuribo: This is actually a logical fallacy known as the Gambler's Fallacy. Given a fair coin (meaning it is not rigged to drop on one side more than the other), each toss is a new independent event and always a 50/50 chance for either heads or tails, regardless any past outcomes.
Interesting, thanks a lot for that info.

But, I'm going to have to disagree still. It's still more likely each time you get the same coin toss to come out the opposite, no matter what Wikipedia says, I don't buy it. It gets more improbable each time you get X.

XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX is almost impossible. It's entirely likely the next will be Y.

But maybe I'm just deluded.