Looks like everyone but Gogtrial has been through here, I haven't incurred 6 votes yet, and I've given the time I said I would give.
Hunter was not a mason.
Assume Mchack is a mason.
Mchack has stated that Leonard
is not his partner.
Mchack has stated that Adalia, HSL, and I
are all not his partners.
Mchack has basically confirmed Krypsyn
is not a mason.
Additionally, on Day 1 Krypsyn placed the vote
that put Mchack at L-2, and left him at L-1 for awhile. Krypsyn was already out of his "follow the biggest wagon" voting phase, and he placed that vote knowing what it would do to the wagon. ZFR put Mchack at L-1
, at least partially in response to my call for people to vote (Post 601). I don't think I need to clarify why a mason would not do this to a fellow mason.
Once Dedo placed his D1 vote on Mchack, that vote was never moved. While I could see an early vote as distancing, Mchack went to L-1 and the vote stayed. I don't see mason Dedo doing this. Dedo could have come up with something, anything, to pull that vote off; if nothing else, he could have pulled it "so we don't accidently lynch", but he did not. Dedo was there when ZFR made the L-1 vote; he actually commented on ZFR's vote (Post 607). Dedo confirmed his continued willingness to lynch Mchack in Post 666.
So that leaves Flub, Trent, and Sage. Sage was pretty close to a null on Day 1 due to her extend absences. I'm personally leaning toward Flub and Trent being the other two masons, but I could see Sage being it instead of Trent. The biggest oddity I have about Trent being a mason is that it leads me to a logic loop that feels similar to the statement "This statement is a lie"; there are a few things he said near the end of Day 1 that make me stumble at the idea. I was watching for clues to indicate whether Gogtrial is the mason, but I didn't see any.
Just Flub declaring he isn't a mason with Mchack would be enough for me to vote Mchack for being scum; if any two of those three claim they aren't mason with Mchack, then I'll happily take an Mchack lynch (and I'd be surprised if the rest of you don't).
Who are the two people who made plays that others (me included) labeled as not coming from a mason? Flub and Trent. Perfect bait for a failed conversion, and Day chat makes for excellent planning and coordination. HSL: This goes back to my comment in Post 913; I genuinely wouldn't have expected such a play from either of them in those circumstances, as I said in Day 1. Flub just rode it out, which is no surprise from Flub, while Trent made some misdirecting statements ("Oh, I'm a mason now?").
I think Hunter was original scum. He wasn't paired with any of the main wagons, and I suspect he wasn't paired with any of the players who think in a more wily fashion (I don't mean that as an insult, simply that some of us think in more loops than others). I'm guessing the Mutants talked about things, and decided that the claims from Flub or Trent were believable enough (and believed enough) to try and recruit one of those two players; WIFOM can take care of keeping the recruit alive, especially considering there is one player (Mchack) strongly advocating against lynching either of them, and the fact that with two of people at such obvious risk we can't hit both so even a coin flip between them (if it came to that) would still keep the new recruit alive.
I'm guessing that the Cyborgs took a look at the two obvious recruit choices and thought "Nah, too obvious. Lets go elsewhere". Unbeknowst to them, they are now dodging most of the masons, and if they look outside the main wagons then they are also dodging the other mason. The recruitment odds just don't get much better on N1 than only 2 bombs in 7 slots. That means the cyborgs include someone from ZFR, Leonard, Dedo, Krypsyn, and me.
IF Mchack is lying:
I'm pretty sure he's on the Cyborg team. If he (as the most active and most exposed to lynch) claims to be a mason, then that may draw out the real masons. As you can see, if Adalia and Leonard aren't cyborgs, then the options for who IS a mason have already been narrowed down, and they're probably going to be narrowed much further before the Day is done. It only risks one (replaceable!) member of the Cyborg team to drastically reduce the possibility of trying to convert a bomb, and it might even get a mason lynched if things go well. This also means Mchack is probably an original scum, since I don't think his play has changed overly much; he is probably the one to use his conversion shot, though. Lastly, I don't really see a solo Mchack making this play and risking a team wipe from a counter claim.
IMHBAO, having one man from the 3 man squad claim mason is a decent play. They have a spare, they only risk one person (and an uncountered claim makes that player VERY hard to lynch), and that person can use their conversion shot before claiming. There are lots and lots of upsides without much downside.
Time for my conclusions.
-I'm going to act as though Mchack is telling the truth, and that two conversions were attempted on N1.
-If you believe Mchack is what he claims to be, then don't lynch Mchack, Flub, Trent, or Gogtrial and you'll be sure not to hit a mason. One of those can't be a mason, but we can sort that out later (probably). That leaves HSL, Adalia, ZFR, Leonard, Dedo, Krypsyn, and I (7 players).
-I'm guessing there are 3 masons, 4 vanilla town, 3 cyborgs, and 1 mutant in the game. Alternatively, there might be 2 cyborgs and 2 mutants (or even 2 cyborgs and 1 mutant), but that means the cyborgs threw a NK at Hunter.
-As far as the remaining Mutant is concerned, there are likely 3 bombs in those 7 non-mason slots for recruiting, and moving one player from the mason category over to the non-mason category results in at least 3 bombs in 8 players. Since a number of those non-masons are already decent lynch prospects, the mutant is in a really tight spot as far as recruiting is concerned. They also can't afford to let the Cyborgs go unchallenged for too long, or the cyborgs will be able to easily finish the mutant team. The mutant will know one player is definitely not vanilla; this may help them NK if Hunter happened to target a Cyborg, or it might be a waste if Hunter targeted a mason. All of this taken together means I'm not really concerned about the mutant scum right now; they can be dealt with later if necessary.
-The cyborgs would know whether they killed Hunter, and they can take a very good guess on whether Mchack is telling the truth.
-I know I'm town, so I'm not voting for me.
-Adalia and HSL aren't mutants, or they would have died for the failed conversion instead of Hunter.
-HSL feels like town to me. I'm not sure about Adalia, but I'm willing to look elsewhere for the moment.
-ZFR's continued appeals toward the experience of others and his focus on wanting to hunt for the last Mutant raise my hackles. I think he's a cyborg.
-Leonard's posting has felt off suspicious throughout the game. He could be a mutant or a cyborg; I could see a team of Leonard + Hunter deciding to go for the conversion on Flub or Trent.
-Dedo's posting has also left me uneasy. There isn't anything I can specifically point at, though.
-In his first game back, poor Krypsyn might well have rolled scum yet again(!), and to add insult to injury, it would be in a cult game. From his perspective, that is probably a yuck and a double yuck. I could easily see scum!Krypsyn making the connection about playing Follow The Masons on D1. This could go either way, and he's also a solid recruitment choice.
-There isn't enough evidence for or against Gogtrial for me to really sort her anywhere.
So there I am. My lynch preferences are on ZFR, Dedo, or Leonard, with a preference against HSL.