Posted October 20, 2017

trentonlf
Easily amused
Rep: 3220
Registered: Apr 2014
From United States

Bookwyrm627
ADD Jumping Bean
Rep: 2595
Registered: Nov 2013
From United States
Posted October 20, 2017

tl;dr => Before posting, make sure Night has not fallen.
Just the usual "He talks".

Leonard03
Prepare For Descent
Rep: 512
Registered: Mar 2014
From Canada

adaliabooks
"Vell, Zaphod's just zis guy, you know?"
Rep: 2475
Registered: Jun 2013
From United Kingdom
Posted October 20, 2017

And just for the record, I stopped voting for you because it didn't look like the wagon was going anywhere.

Tell you what: Tonight should I get nightkilled, I think it's kinda obvious people should (and hopefully will) look at you. Because then they'll see my alignment in the flip and can judge our conversation again from that point of view.
Well if you get Nk'd it won't be by me. But I certainly won't be shedding a tear.

If anything, I'd think the non-lynched player would actually reduce scum's chances of hitting correctly (killing a hacker). I find it a little hard to imagine scum being confident enough to risk dying on N1, instead of just murdering the boop out of someone.
Meant to question this myself earlier but completely forgot.

Asking the question at all could only have one purpose, to suggest that was an alternative reason for your behaviour.


And few others here have gone easy on the newbie too. Only HypersomniacLive was not giving the newbie any leniency, which to be honest makes me less suspicious of him.
But seeing how adalia knows me a lot from these forums and we are friends. And how in all other games, you do want to be encouraging to newbies who join you the first time, it could be really genuine on his part. I'm not sure how meta we are supposed to go in this game.
Just my 2 cents.
Stuff like any lynch is better than no lynch so day 1 any vote is basically as good is another. Saying "Picking him relates to my second point: I have to pick somebody. He's as good as any." is pretty much my day 1 play in a nutshell most of the time.
And there is also the element that you are new and we are friends :)
I've already covered this; of course not, but they will be scum hunting just as much as town is to try and figure who to avoid with conversions and who to try to lynch or NK (depending on what their plan is)

Unvote Krypsen vote adilabooks
Though I am happy with my kypsen vote too so may go back to it as my catching up goes.
And it's not what he's doing as much as why he might be doing it.




I'm certainly not sane... but I don't think you are barking up the right tree yet if that's what you think.

Hunter65536
New GOGlin
Rep: 801
Registered: Apr 2014
From India
Posted October 20, 2017


@sage Leonard started it. Meh, it’s more like battle of wills on day 1 rather than getting it right. Kinda what mchack said about self-preservation before, I think I get it now.

HypersomniacLive
The Reluctant Voter
Rep: 4675
Registered: Sep 2011
From Vatican City
Posted October 20, 2017

Weren't you the one that pointed out last game not to underestimate mchack?




You've played in three games before this one, were scum in only one of them, and in none of these games were you under any real pressure; not much of a meta from a similar situation to go by, is there? What is known, however, is that you're not the naive guy you seem to try to make us think you are.
I don't expect you to deviate from your usual play, but I do watch out for the thought process/progression behind the arguments you make, and the way you make/word them.
I may or may not have read too much into it, but better left alone at this point of the game.

Game #25 - adaliabooks in his post #228 pretty much summed it up to mchack. It's the perfect example of how two scum teams (two Godfathers, to be precise, and a bunch of lonesome scum with no killing power until they joined one of the Godfathers) went after the same player Night after Night, until one killed the other.
It was a nod to mchack that the case of both teams choosing the same target isn't all that incredible.
As for game #30, I believe I've already made my point pretty clear - I reminded people of BlueMooner in relation to ZFR, then went into more detail in my post #212, replying to mchack and Leonard03.

Leonard03
Prepare For Descent
Rep: 512
Registered: Mar 2014
From Canada
Posted October 20, 2017
That's a very odd thing to say. If he flips town I would hope all town players are sad...
Leonard03: Well, apparently I'm not that clever, cause I have no idea what you are talking about.
If it's at all what I'm thinking it is, I think you're crazy.
adaliabooks: Really? You seem to have at least some ideas...
I'm certainly not sane... but I don't think you are barking up the right tree yet if that's what you think. I write my posts as I read through the thread, so a possibility occurred to me later on.

If it's at all what I'm thinking it is, I think you're crazy.

I'm certainly not sane... but I don't think you are barking up the right tree yet if that's what you think.

Krypsyn
The Anti-Hippie
Rep: 1017
Registered: Oct 2008
From United States
Posted October 20, 2017



This game has:
3 Mason
5 Town
2 Scum A
2 Scum B
Normally, in a Mafia game, scum starts out with more knowledge than town (since they know for sure who they are, and thus who town must be). Thus, town gains from trying to suss-out scum by getting them to hopefully slip-up; if town slips up (other than a brain-dead soft- or hard-claim for a power role), then they haven't lost anything, because scum already knew.
In this game, it is the reverse. Masons know more information than scum. They know fully who 3 people are at the start of the game, but the scum teams each only know 2. Trying to getting people to slip up on Day 1, in this case, actually has a higher likelihood of hurting town than scum, because of this knowledge inconsistency.
So, if, on Day 1, we are not discussing PRs (which is doubly dumb in this game), or not actively trying to get players to slip up and inadvertently reveal something, then what is left?
So, FIFO (first in, first out):
Unvote: adaliabooks
Vote: flubbucket
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Unofficial Vote Count
flubbucket - 4 Votes (trentonlf 123/213; Bookwyrm627 187; adaliabooks 265; mchack 268, Krypsyn 308)
Bookwyrm627 - 0 Votes - (mchack 15/56; Bookwyrm627 34/47; adaliabooks 39/46; Krypsyn 42/49, Hunter65536 108/172)
trentonlf - 0 Votes
dedoporno - 0 Votes (Leonard03 107/169)
adaliabooks - 3 Votes (ZFR 10/32; Hunter65536 16/108; Krypsyn 28/33; mchack 117/174; Leonard03 169; Krypsyn 171/308; ZFR 192; Sage103082 300)
Krypsyn - 1 Votes - (Sage103082 22/300; ZFR 32/62; Krypsyn 33/42; Krypsyn 49/61; trentonlf 72/123; Krypsyn 74/129; trentonlf 261)
ZFR - 0 Votes (adaliabooks 9/26; Bookwyrm627 12/30; Krypsyn 24/28)
Hunter65536 - 0 votes (Bookwyrm627 30/34)
Leonard03 - 0 Votes (adaliabooks 87/115; mchack 94/117; Bookwyrm627 127/127)
mchack - 0 Votes (ZFR 62/153; Bookwyrm627 127/187; Krypsyn 129/171; adaliabooks 197/265; trentonlf 213/261)
Sage103082 - 0 Votes - (trentonlf 20/72; Bookwyrm627 47/127; adaliabooks 55/65; Krypsyn 61/74; mchack 201/268)
HypersomniacLive - 0 Votes (mchack 56/94; flubbucket 80/97)
Lifthrasil (i.e. suicide vote) - 0 Votes (dedoporno 98/114)
Other - 0 votes (flubbucket 97/160)
Not Voting - HypersomniacLive, dedoporno, flubbucket, Hunter65536

dedoporno
A bloody pirate!
Rep: 1502
Registered: Apr 2012
From Bulgaria
Posted October 20, 2017
Yes, but that does not mean he or anyone else is safe from making a mistake. Should I disregard everything it attracts my attention just because I don't want to underestimate the players?
HypersomniacLive: Yes, grandpa, but that's not what I was doing; questioning someone is more often than not about that someone's motives and thought process. I didn't say that's what you were doing. I felt that was a possible direction where it might have went (not necessarily by your design) which was something I would like to avoid.
HypersomniacLive: My my, aren't you a tad (too) touchy... Am I supposed to not question you this game? You are allowed to do whatever you wish. You just seemed to take a solid stand out of nowhere for mchack by your own volition so I made a remark about it.
I'm curious, would you take any lynch as long as it happens?


I'm curious, would you take any lynch as long as it happens?

adaliabooks
"Vell, Zaphod's just zis guy, you know?"
Rep: 2475
Registered: Jun 2013
From United Kingdom
Posted October 20, 2017

But I'm fairly certain mchack is scum, so no one (other than his buddy) should be sad when he dies.

Sometimes I think people forget that this is a game, sure we can sit around endlessly trying to figure out exactly who is scum day 1, or we can just move things along and get to the next day where we have more info and a better chance of getting to a game winning state.
As for why I believe flub is an excellent choice... his volunteering, as it were, to be the lynch I see as a kind of soft claim. Now there is only one role in this game who would sincerely volunteer to be lynched, and that's a vanilla townie.
So what do we think is going to happen to flub tonight if he is not lynched? An almost guaranteed vanilla townie?
Sure, it could be a trap... but as a mason that would be an exceedingly stupid play and as scum it would only really work if he could reliably deflect the lynch to someone else.
Right now I'm the only real alternative to him and other than Sage voting me for my support of Krypsyn the other two votes have little to no reason beyond gut feeling behind them (and Krypsyn who has now moved his vote anyway) it's not exactly going to be easy to swing that (particularly as a number of you have said you find me townie or will not vote me today so that's even more of an uphill struggle)
So in short, flub pretty much needs to be lynched today.

Krypsyn
The Anti-Hippie
Rep: 1017
Registered: Oct 2008
From United States

ZFR
I love gold!
Rep: 5021
Registered: Jan 2010
From Ireland
Posted October 20, 2017
Then,
unvote: adalia
vote: flubbucket
My opinion of other players hasn't changed much, but, again if someone has to be lynched it could be flub.
unvote: adalia
vote: flubbucket
My opinion of other players hasn't changed much, but, again if someone has to be lynched it could be flub.

trentonlf
Easily amused
Rep: 3220
Registered: Apr 2014
From United States
Posted October 20, 2017


But I'm fairly certain mchack is scum, so no one (other than his buddy) should be sad when he dies.


Sometimes I think people forget that this is a game, sure we can sit around endlessly trying to figure out exactly who is scum day 1, or we can just move things along and get to the next day where we have more info and a better chance of getting to a game winning state.
As for why I believe flub is an excellent choice... his volunteering, as it were, to be the lynch I see as a kind of soft claim. Now there is only one role in this game who would sincerely volunteer to be lynched, and that's a vanilla townie.
So what do we think is going to happen to flub tonight if he is not lynched? An almost guaranteed vanilla townie?
Sure, it could be a trap... but as a mason that would be an exceedingly stupid play and as scum it would only really work if he could reliably deflect the lynch to someone else.
Right now I'm the only real alternative to him and other than Sage voting me for my support of Krypsyn the other two votes have little to no reason beyond gut feeling behind them (and Krypsyn who has now moved his vote anyway) it's not exactly going to be easy to swing that (particularly as a number of you have said you find me townie or will not vote me today so that's even more of an uphill struggle)
So in short, flub pretty much needs to be lynched today.
I also pointed the exact thing about flub earlier (him probably being town vanilla), but I don’t agree that he should be lynched simply to lynch someone. If I think someone’s town I will not put my vote on them. I have a feeling flub will be the lynch today because once that wagon gets to 5 votes I don’t see it stopping, but it will not have my vote on it.

adaliabooks
"Vell, Zaphod's just zis guy, you know?"
Rep: 2475
Registered: Jun 2013
From United Kingdom
Posted October 20, 2017

Having a practically guaranteed vanilla town will be too good a target for scum to pass up, little to no risk of dying and we either lynch flub tomorrow or one of the scum teams has three members.
That's why he needs to be lynched if he has claimed vanilla.
There is another side to it, but I'll only go into it if really necessary because it does give a tactic to scum that they may well not have realised yet.

HypersomniacLive
The Reluctant Voter
Rep: 4675
Registered: Sep 2011
From Vatican City
Posted October 20, 2017

It reeks of trying too hard to cover up a slip to me. [...]

But I still prefer his input so far to the likes of flub or sage's lurking.
If he keeps it up tomorrow then he's probably getting my vote, but for now I can't really hold it against him.
Obviously.

Only one.

Everyone backs off you (which makes me believe Hyper may be your buddy)
Or you get NK'd by one of the scum teams who now wonder if you might be a mason after all (in which case Hyper may well be scum but not aligned to you) [...]
*WIFOM argument "you'd not do it, so you'd do it" incoming in 5, 4, 3, 2, ...*
Because if I were scum and had said intention, doing what you believe I did wouldn't in any way, shape or form stand out, with all the implications I already mentioned, right? Right?
*More of the above sort of WIFOM arguments incoming in 3, 2, ... 1!*




The reason adaliabooks is firm on lynching flubbucket is to avert his quite likely conversion Tonight, not to simply lynch someone.
Can we drop the voting of flubbucket a couple of notches? I'd like to see what else Sage103082 has to say Today.