[...] he made it just before the end of D2 so it may have been planted in case he was NK'd or attempted and failed a conversion. [...]
Except that at the time, he couldn't know that it was "just before D2 end"; Lifthrasil hadn't even given us our 48hrs warning yet. Unless you still count that as being just before D2 end; I don't. If not, you're using knowledge after the fact to make an argument, in which case I have to ask why.
Seeing how he flipped scum, I think it's reasonably safe to say that he did plant it, and with a goal and purpose in mind - to keep his buddies as hidden as possible, while leaving just enough room to bus either one if needed, and at the same time, cast doubt/shade on a couple of townies, and the rival scum, for a mis-lynch (from his PoV). How he went about it depends on if he thought it (quite) more likely he'd survive the Night, or that he'll bite it; based on the Night results, and the most probable interpretation of them (Cyborgs killed the claimed Mason, Mutant killed dedoporno), I'm leaning towards the former.
What I thought may be telling is that he made his post #992 first. Did something between his posts #980 and #992 happen that made him put out his reads, or did he do it simply as a means to appear a good townie? I've gone over the posts between #980 and #992, but can't say I see anything standing out, so if there is something, then it's a detail that only the Cyborgs would pick on.
Problem is that with GOG's atrocious time-stamps, there is no way to check how much time passed between his posts #992 and #995; for a man that only had "a few minutes to try and catch up a bit", that list seems to have been prepared ahead of coming on and posting.
[...] But the part I find most intriguing is what he didn't write. At least not at first.
Was leaving gogtrial off the list the first time a slip? Had he forgotten to write something about his buddy and then had to quickly correct it in case anyone questioned it? [...]
Here's another thing to consider regarding his voting, and more importantly, his expressed intent for D2.
In post #995 he says he might
be open to Krypsyn/ZFR, and in post #998 he says [emphasis added]:
He falls between flub/trent and Krypsyn/ZFR as in "I don't feel like voting for him too much, but if I have to, I probably will, most likely after ZFR and Krypsyn's wagons have failed".
Leonard03 was who he was voting, and didn't move from there, I was the next up because he was willing to go along with what others were thinking (btw, this is exactly how he acted regarding me in game #52), then he might
vote Krypsyn/ZFR (but only if he had to), then gogtrial34987 but after the Krypsyn/ZFR wagons failed. And in this long line of intended votes, his town reads are, as expected, left out, except for flubbucket and trentonlf who suddenly enter the scene, as the next ones in line, if I'm reading this correctly.
So the order is:
Leonard03 > HypersomniacLive > Krypsyn/ZFR > gogtrial34987 > flubbucket/trentonlf.
Notice anything about the last three? So is this distancing from Bookwyrm627 by seemingly keeping those three in his lynch-candidates pool? He did leave himself enough wiggle room the way he town-read him, so could be distancing, but also casting shade, or prepping rival scum for lynch on a later Day.
Perhaps more telling, are these two things:
- He puts Krypsyn and ZFR together, even though he claims to have had a town-read on ZFR D1, while Krypsyn was and remains a blank sheet.
- He said he might be open to Krypsyn/ZFR, then makes the comment about their wagons failing. Everyone go back and check, there was absolutely no way on earth these two would get a half-viable wagon on D2, and most certainly not within the last 48hrs. In fact they both went through the entirety of D2 with zero votes on them.
I'm inclined to think that one of dedoporno's buddy may well be here.
Rereading ZFR, I'm uneasy about him. He has clearly demonstrated that he's intelligent, skilled and experienced enough (granted, from playing Resistance and not forum mafia, but still) to play this game, analyse and strategise (more than a few posts on this). Which makes me take a second look at, at least, some of what he's said and done as it feels more like staged newbie-card play. A few things in his late D2 play also make me uneasy in light of dedoporno's flip; I can go into them if (plural) you are interested.
Krypsyn has said practically nothing all of D1, asides from a handful of posts in the context of "trust in Masons", and his post #580. Neither of those are AI, however. His D2 posts are not any more enlightening; aside from the usual vote counts, comments on their accuracy/errors, talk about game mechanics, and a couple of exchanges with gogtrial34987, the most he contributed were a couple of comments on mchack (before he claimed), town-reading adaliabooks, and his post #1035 to me, though on second thought after what he's said Today, that may have well been just to keep the suspicion on me (ZFR reacted to it, whether genuinely or not is another matter).
The most I have is the way his D3 behaviour has me uneasy. He seemed too accommodating after the way he played so far, and as soon as I mentioned it, said that it makes me uneasy, and followed up with more questions, he immediately bounced back. This all makes me think that he could be dedoporno's buddy, though in this case I'm not sure he'd draw attention to the third Cyborg (assuming they're between adaliabooks and Bookwyrm627) with the way he reacted to me.
Having said all this, there's something I noticed that I'm not sure what to make of it. Both ZFR and Bookwyrm have stated that Today we have four Vanillas, even though we have been going with the scenario that there was a successful conversion N1. If that is a slip, then either one or both know that there was no successful conversion on N1, and either one or both of them seem to be misleading town with our chances. Bookwyrm627 more so, since he laid out a series of potential outcomes for the next Nights and Days in his post #1092 (which he still referenced to me in his post #1094 where he touches on the case that Hunter65536 failed N1), while ZFR went the least incriminating route of not presenting anything (he certainly is capable of running the numbers, and probably has already). However, after my reread, I'm not ruling out that ZFR noticed it and keeps mum about it. Which now makes me wonder who else might have noticed it and are doing the same, and if so, what reason for.
If this is an error from both or either one, then it's one hall of a coincidence at this point in the game.