awalterj: But even though you physicists are so smart, you still only cook with water, as one says in a popular German proverb. But of course you'll say, "I cook with Quantum water!" Yes, Yes...
Does it count that I often light my gas cooker with a laser? Mostly because I think a match or this fancy sparky thing to be lame ;)
awalterj: To get back on topic, I made such a "quantum bet" with myself just the other day when I decided to not buy any more games for the time being because I can't afford it and have a game purchasing addiction, so it's not merely a matter of "too much backlog". I then vowed to make a giveaway should I break my vow not to buy any games until I can afford it and have properly addressed my addiction. And reduced my backlog, which is not a main concern but of course is a factor as well.
In accordance with your rules for quantum bets:
1.) In my quantum bet, condition A (breaking my vow) is something I really want. I want to break my vow and buy more games, and it's currently very hard for me not to buy anything.
2.) Action B (making a giveaway as self-punishment, not counting giveaways for codes I already have) is something I don't want to do at this very moment because I have no money to spare, at all.
3.) Condition A is related to action B in that if I break my vow I'll want to make a giveaway because if I break my vow then that means I might not have overcome my games shopaholism but it means my financial situation would have improved, otherwise I wouldn't be able to buy any games eve for myself. If I had money again, then buying codes for giveaways will be possible again. So even though I should not want condition A to happen (because my addiction will relapse), I'll still want to take action B
if condition A gets fulfilled.
TLDR: A "quantum bet" is a bet that you kinda want to lose so you set the wager to something that's not really a punishment.
I'm sorry but your bet is not a quantum bet, according to our theory. Please read
this post for more explanations. You've clearly successfully created a quantum state of wanting and not wanting at the same time but it's a static quantum state and a quantum bet require some fluctuations (see aforementioned post). As you have already said: breaking a vow means that your financial situation has already improved. And the theory assume that condition A should create only a
possibility that in
future action B would be regarded as not as bad as it seemed at the time you performed it. In your case the effect is immediate.
Let's consider this situation: you spend your last money on a game. This new game can hypothetically make you earn more (it can be inspiration for you to create your own game and being successful and stuff like that) but let's face it - the probability is very low and your mind won't consider an option that buying a new game will bring you a lot of money (which would indeed make creating a giveaway less harmful) so once again your mind won't create a quantum buzz that can change the reality.
So a quantum bet is definitely NOT something that you always want to lose. A quantum bet is a risk that you are willing to take. Look at my case: getting a greenlight for a publication is the very first step. But it may happen that reviewers will turn it down or that even if I publish it, it won't have any impact on my career (frankly, pretty high chance for that) so in the end there is a risk that I will lose something (even if it's not much) and gain absolutely nothing at all. That's the risk of a quantum bet.
The key is not "setting the wager to something that's not really a punishment" - the key is to adjust the bet to your own mind in such a way that it would positively change the reality (remember that a quantum buzz can do the opposite - that you'll lose everything you hoped for!). This part I didn't really explained because it was dealing with private stuff of those scientists that made this theory. So yeah, it's kinda my fault that you misunderstood the concept of a quantum bet because I cannot really give you many details. Our theory is absolutely not general it was fitted to our brains. And since nobody can give a general info how a human's brain work we had to adjust it to our brains that, while we obviously can't fully understand, we still have a little more information about them.
I'll announce quantum winners soon!