Alright, then. Let me just get some general remarks out of the way first.
The first day was, ultimately, pointless. Without even a proper lynch wagon to analyse, we are pretty much exactly where we were when the whole thing started, just three townies short (and we're quite lucky just one of them was a power role). This cannot be allowed to continue, otherwise we could hand the victory over to the mafia straight away and go home. And pretty much everyone in the game played his or her part in it; seriously, people, I know GOG mafia games always tended to do that, but waiting for something to happen is not the same as playing the game. And I don't know about you, but I'd much rather lose a good game than win a boring one.
With which I want to say: stop being so cautious, and if you see a discussion, participate in it even though it does not directly concern you! Consequences be damned; anything at all anyone says can be, and often will be, (mis)interpreted in many ways and considered damning evidence against them by one group or another. That is the point of the game. Being silent for fear of becoming suspicious is a terrible strategy, as the first day has clearly shown.
With that out of the way, let's turn to the matter at hand.
I can't say I'm a fan of complex analyses of nightkill targets, but considering it's about the only piece of information we have, we might as well start there. Two corpses on day two could obviously mean several things, the two most probable ones being:
1. There are two scumteams, and both can kill at night. Now unless Damnation recycled his no-kills-on-odd-nights mechanic (which seems unlikely to me), this would essentially mean town was screwed from the very start unless it's an insanely power-heavy town -- which it doesn't seem to be so far.
2. One of the kills was the work of scum, the other of a serial killer or overzealous vig. This seems more likely, and unlike NFY, I'd actually be leaning towards the latter possibility. Why? Because of the targets.
Vitek and nmillar locked horns relatively early and kept at it throughout the day. It's not hard to superficially read this situation as a town-scum conflict (even though it wasn't, as it turns out), and it's something that could absolutely make a trigger-happy (and possibly inexperienced?) vig go for whichever he considers scummier of the two (cf. the night one vig kill in M5). Why did scum go for the other one -- hard to say, but both nmillar and Vitek are experienced and good players, and as such dangerous. Hardly good sportsmanship offing either of them early in the game, but it's clearly an attractive tactic.
Therefore, for now I'm going to presume there is just one scumteam in the game, at least until day three. But I'm pretty certain Damnation is going to mess with us, so I'm fully prepared to eat my words later.
At this point, I thought I'd share my reads, such as they are, to make this wall of text so much taller:
Detlik: there's the business with his lack of voting mentioned on day one (perhaps somehow related to the mysterious voter), but the discussion then just fizzled out for some reason or other. As Detlik's #668 was obviously hinting at something, I think it would be wise to learn more. Therefore: Detlik, what happens when you vote, if you actually can do so? And I'd appreciate if you could also demonstrate by voting someone -- me, if you want to. That is unless you believe that this would somehow unbalance the game (or if it would, say, insta-kill me; I don't think I'd like that). The cat's tail is sticking out of the bag already, might as well take a look at the whole animal.
Penut/GoJays: I don't really have anything there, what with the lurking, replacement and all.
jefequeso: There's something that makes me vaguely uneasy about jefe in this game, but I can't put my finger on it. His strength is in observation, and I wouldn't mind hearing what his reads are.
NotFrenchYet: Has pinged my scumdar quite a few times throughout day one, basically for the reasons listed by Vitek way back in #150&154. I find her helpful attitude a little too overzealous, though it's nothing I could possibly build a case on. Just a feeling. And I'm wary of the "Vitek was killed to put the blame on me" line of reasoning in #835; I don't think I've ever seen something like that actually happen, but I do think that people who try to float these ideas tend to be the actual culprits throwing out a false motive. I'd have to research that more, though.
QuadrAlien: His play feels consistent with what I remember of town-QA from other games, but he's once again in heavy lurker mode. You really need to post more, mate. And it doesn't always have to be comprehensive; just a few random thoughts will do.
Red_Baron: Here's an interesting one, and my top suspect of the hour. It has been already pointed out by someone (NFY and Vitek, I think) that his posts are some of the finest fence-sitting you're likely to see, and his voting pattern is opportunistic to say the least (not to mention that one unvote at #151 to escape what started looking like a dangerous stack of votes on Damuna -- this felt mighty odd at that time and still does). And there's a lot of "I agree with you guys" on whatever is the case of the hour (#571 is a good example there), too. Almost feels as if he didn't want to step on any toes -- which is quite unlike the Red_Baron I know.
Robbeasy: I feel moderately good about Robbeasy this game (which in itself is odd), doing his usual eager blender routine and not seeming particularly suspect to me. Which of course means he should be lynched immediately.
[Apologies to the newbies, that was a joke. Me and Rob have some old scores to settle :)]
Rodzaju: I agree with the Bard here. The issue of Lynch All Liars is a complex one, but advocating LAL in the early days of the game is either straight up scummy or simply misguided. The idea isn't to lynch everyone who doesn't participate much (if that were the case, everyone in this game should have been lynched already), but to go after people who deliberately shy away from discussion to hide in the shadows, assuming that such players are more likely to be scum. But a lack of participation in and of itself is not suspicious, and LAL on those grounds is nothing but a dice-roll. Quite honestly, I do not think Rodzaju is advocating this out of malice, but I cannot rule it out.
SirPrimalform: Is only truly active in off-topic discussions. There's very little else you could say about him.
Stoicsentry: A tricky one. I like his questions and rational approach to the whole thing very much, but there is something in his playstyle that doesn't quite fit. I'm keeping an eye on him.
TwilightBard: There's quite a lack of participation there as well. Likes discussing general play strategies, but doesn't very often comment on what's actually going on in the thread. As said previously, I agree with his stance on LAL in the recent discussion with Rodzaju, but then again, that gives us little to no indication on what his alignment might be.
Xzyem: I like this guy. The change in his playing style is quite jarring, but other than that, I see him asking good questions and trying to actively scumhunt, which isn't exactly common here.
So all in all, I don't see anyone I could describe as leaning town. Everyone's a suspect, just Red_Baron and NFY seem somewhat more so. Brilliant.
As usual, there was something else as well, but I forgot.